The smartest NFL picks for Week 4 come via the entire suite of the Action Network’s betting value indicators.
Not only do we have one of the biggest betting model edges in recent memory, but there are also a handful of Sunday’s Week 4 games quietly landing smart money from the market’s sharpest NFL bettors.
After examining the latest NFL odds movement for Week 4, as well as our PRO picks and predictions, here are Sunday’s smartest football bets, including:
- Titans vs. Colts (1 p.m. ET)
- Bills vs. Ravens (1 p.m. ET)
- Browns vs. Falcons (1 p.m. ET)
NFL Picks for Week 4
*NFL odds for Week 4 as of Sunday morning
Titans vs. Colts Pick
1 p.m. ET | FOX
Titans vs. Colts is a classic case of respected bettors dropping big money and moving NFL odds.
This total opened at 44.5 and multiple waves of sharp action have knocked it down to 43 as of the time of writing.
The Titans vs. Colts under has also attracted 93% of the money, on just 44% of the tickets, on the total, confirming that oddsmakers have adjusted this number in reaction to large wagers from pro bettors.
PRO Report Pick: Under 43
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Bills vs. Ravens Pick
1 p.m. ET | CBS
Earlier this week, Bills vs. Ravens was offering the biggest NFL betting model edge ever tracked by the Action Network.
While that line has moved, which was expected, and the edge has shrunk, Ravens +3 is still the top edge, by far, of the entire NFL Week 4 slate.
While Baltimore is widely-available at +3, our projection of Ravens +0.6 translates to a sizable 5.6% edge for NFL bettors.
PRO Report Pick: Ravens +3
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Browns vs. Falcons Pick
1 p.m. ET | CBS
Browns vs. Falcons won’t be the most popular of Sunday’s NFL Week 4 games, but it has certainly been trendy among wiseguys.
Atlanta initially hit the market as a 3-point underdog, a line that pros have popped down to +1 as of Sunday morning (click here for live NFL odds).
PRO Report Pick: Falcons +1