Presents under the tree aren’t the only gifts awaiting us on Christmas.
The NFL is also rewarding football fans and bettors with a Sunday tripleheader, starting with Packers vs. Dolphins at 1 p.m. ET, followed by Broncos vs. Rams at 4:30 p.m. ET and concluding with Buccaneers vs. Cardinals at 8:20 p.m. ET.
And perhaps even more interesting is that based on the latest NFL odds, each of these three Week 16 games is offering value for savvy sports bettors.
Since most of us are busy this Christmas Sunday, I’ll dive right in today’s smartest NFL picks for Week 16.
NFL Odds & Picks for Sunday
*Odds as of Saturday afternoon
Packers vs. Dolphins Pick
1 p.m. ET | FOX
Are the Green Bay Packers back?
When it comes to betting market value, it appears so.
As recently as early Tuesday morning, the Packers were available at +6 for Sunday’s game against the Dolphins, but wiseguys made quick work of that number.
Sharps have slammed Green Bay throughout the week according to Action Labs’ Bet Signals, forcing oddsmakers to adjust this spread down to a consensus of +3.5.
PRO Report Pick: Packers +3.5
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Buccaneers vs. Cardinals Pick
8:20 p.m. ET | NBC
We can go ahead and file this one into “hold your nose” territory.
It’s not easy to bet Arizona with third-string quarterback Trace McSorely under center against Tampa Bay and Tom Brady, but that’s exactly what the data suggests we do.
The Action Network’s NFL PRO Projections set this spread at Cardinals +6.1, resulting in a 3.1% edge when compared to the widely-available +7.5.
In fact, according to live NFL odds for Sunday’s Week 16 games, Arizona is available at +8 at PointsBet, making this betting model edge that much larger.
PRO Report Pick: Cardinals +8
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