Steelers vs. Browns Odds
| Steelers Odds | +4 |
| Browns Odds | -4 |
| Over/Under | 38.5 |
| Date | Thursday, Sept. 22 |
| Time | 8:15 p.m. ET |
| Channel | Amazon Prime Video |
*Odds as of Thursday morning
The odds are stacking against Steelers vs. Browns being a high-scoring game tonight on Thursday Night Football.
In what was already expected to be a grind offensively, the latest Cleveland weather forecast shows windy conditions at FirstEnergy Stadium tonight, helping to knock down the already low opening total of 41 to between 38 and 38.5.
I’m not breaking any news here by saying that Steelers vs. Browns has the potential to be a slog tonight, but that doesn’t matter for bettors if there’s the potential for a +EV position on this matchup.
According to the Action Network’s NFL betting model, there is a monster edge available right now for Thursday Night Football bettors.
Steelers vs. Browns Pick
As I mentioned above, live NFL odds for Steelers vs. Browns show the over/under settled between 38 and 38.5, while Cleveland sits as a 4-point home favorite.
Based on our NFL PRO Projections, value-minded bettors should be eyeing the spread as well.
We project the Steelers as 2.9-point underdogs, resulting in a beefy 4.8% edge compared to the widely-available +4 price tag.
In fact, bettors can get even more value out of Pittsburgh by hitting the Action Network’s NFL Live Odds Page and shopping for the best line.
For example, BetMGM is offering the Steelers at +5 as of the time of writing, providing a full point of free value for NFL bettors.
The latest Steelers vs. Browns weather forecast is calling for extremely windy conditions as well, so a lower-scoring game could help Pittsburgh as well.
If points are hard to come by on Thursday Night, it makes sense that it would then be more difficult for the favorite — the Browns in this example — to score enough points to cover the number.
PRO Prediction: Steelers +5
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