nfl-odds-saturday-touchdown-picks-predictions pictured: Running back Cordarrelle Patterson #84 of the Pittsburgh Steelers

NFL Odds Saturday: Touchdown Picks for Texans vs Chiefs, Steelers vs Ravens

Action PRO touchdown data for NFL Saturday shows three big picks, bets in both games and a couple of long shots. Who’s in?

Using our experts’ data, three of the top-eight edges are in Texans vs. Chiefs (2 p.m. ET) and Steelers vs Ravens (4:30 p.m.).

PRO Projections reveal one edge in Texans vs. Chiefs and two more touchdown picks for Steelers vs. Ravens in the later game.

Premium anytime touchdown scorer picks are +450, +850 and +1500. Using NFL expert Sean Koerner’s TD data, those touchdown prices should be closer to +285, +525 and +615!


NFL Odds, Touchdown Picks Saturday Week 16

Texans vs. Chiefs TD Predictions

The Chiefs host the Texans in the first game of the day.

The best touchdown pick using PRO Projections is Chiefs tight end Noah Gray.

Koerner’s touchdown prediction for Gray is 26%, which implies fair odds of about +285. Shopping for the best odds, Gray is +450 at Caesars, translating to a probability of about 18%.

If you filter PRO TD Props by game, you can check out all players’ projections. Houston-Kansas City reveals nearly all of the other Chiefs pass catchers are overvalued, so roll with Gray, who already has five touchdowns this season.

Gray is currently the seventh-largest edge from PRO Projections.

PRO TD Projections Pick: Noah Gray TD (+450)


Steelers vs. Ravens TD Predictions

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Switching gears to the late game, Steelers QB Russell Wilson makes the cut as a great bet to score a touchdown.

FanDuel’s odds of +850 give Wilson about a 10% probability of crossing the goal line at any point vs. the Ravens on Saturday. Action PRO models forecast more optimism, tabbing the Steelers quarterback to score about 16% of the time.

A negative game script for the Steelers could translate to more dropbacks and opportunities to scurry. Wilson is the eighth-best touchdown bet for Week 16 as of Friday afternoon.

PRO TD Projections Pick: Russell Wilson TD (+850)


For the third week in a row, Steelers running back Cordarrelle Patterson is a bet.

Factoring in odds, projections, route participation and more, Patterson is the third-best pick to lock in for Week 16.

The market has flat-out given up on Patterson to score a touchdown, pricing the veteran utility man at +1500 (Caesars) or a probability of about 6%.

PRO Projections are higher, marking Patterson for an anytime TD 14% of the time against the Ravens.

PRO TD Projections Pick: Cordarrelle Patterson TD (+1500)

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