When looking solely at NFL odds for Week 3, Sunday’s slate isn’t very pretty.
Large spreads are the name of the game today, with six of the afternoon contests offering favorites of a least six points.
And while Week 3 isn’t exactly loaded with marquee matchups, that’s exactly what makes betting so interesting.
The whole idea of NFL odds, spread and over/unders is to level the playing field and entice wagering, which in turn, provides a vesting interest no matter how lopsided a matchup may look on paper.
When it comes to NFL Week 3 picks, it’s a mixed bag when it comes to top value indicators and multiple facets of the Action Network’s PRO Report, which is pinging savvy wagering opportunities.
So let’s go ahead and dig into the top value signals for today’s games, including the three smartest NFL picks for Week 3.
NFL Picks for Week 3
*NFL odds as of Sunday morning
Bills vs. Commanders Pick
1 p.m. ET | CBS
Bills vs. Commanders provides a classic example of NFL odds movement that has gone too far.
This total hit the market at 44.5 and has been bet down to 43 as of Saturday.
However, Action Network’s NFL PRO Projections forecasts this line at 44.8, resulting in a 2.5% edge when compared to the widely-available 43.
PRO Report Pick: Over 43 (-110)
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Falcons vs. Lions Pick
1 p.m. ET | FOX
When it comes to the sharpest spread bet for NFL Week 3, Falcons vs. Lions comes to mind.
Professional bettors have pounded Atlanta from its +5 opener down to +3 across the market.
In addition, our NFL public betting data is reporting that the Falcons have landed 54% of the money wagered on the spread, but on just 39% of the tickets.
With sportsbooks drowning in big Atlanta bets, the oddsmakers had no choice but to adjust this line down to the key number of +3.
However, BetMGM is offering Atlanta +3.5 at -120 so, as always, be sure to shop for the best NFL odds if taking a position on this interesting Week 3 matchup.
PRO Report Pick: Falcons +3.5 (-120)
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Panthers vs. Seahawks Pick
4:05 p.m. ET | CBS
Backup quarterback Andy Dalton will be getting the start for Carolina against Seattle and history says there is still reason to like Carolina plus the points this afternoon.
The visiting Panthers are 0-2 on the season thus far, making them a match for the Action Network’s Early Season Winless Teams PRO Betting System.
This strategy has produced a 97-64-2 (60%) against-the-spread record dating back to 2005, covering by an average margin of 1.22 points.
PRO Report Pick: Panthers +5 (-110)
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