Sunday’s NFL odds for Week 3 have gone on an interesting ride to this point.
Betting value can come from anywhere, even via a slate’s lower-profile matchups, but that is not the case today.
Based on live NFL odds for Week 3, not only are there eye-popping edges ripe for the picking right now, but Sunday’s best value bets are also coming from today’s biggest games, including:
- Chiefs vs. Colts (1 p.m. ET)
- Packers vs. Buccaneers (4:25 p.m. ET)
- Falcons vs. Seahawks (4:25 p.m. ET)
- Rams vs. Cardinals (4:25 p.m. ET)
Let’s not waste any time and dive right into Sunday’s smartest NFL Week 3 picks.
NFL Picks for Week 3
*Odds as of Sunday morning
Chiefs vs. Colts Pick
1 p.m. ET | CBS
I smell a sharps vs. squares scenario looming.
Let’s start with the facts.
Fact No. 1: The Action Network’s NFL public betting data is showing that Kansas City has landed 71% of spread tickets to this point.
Fact No. 2: Action Labs’ Bet Signals have tracked multiple waves of smart money flowing on Indianapolis, which, in turn, has driven the Colts from +7 down to +5.5 at most sportsbooks.
While the public is happily laying the points with the Chiefs, why are wiseguys so bullish on Indy?
Perhaps our NFL PRO Projections can offer some insight.
This NFL betting model projects the Colts at +3.9 against the Chiefs, which, when compared to the consensus spread of +5.5, translates to a 2.7% edge.
Pick: Colts +5.5
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Packers vs. Buccaneers Pick
4:25 p.m. ET | FOX
Speaking of NFL Week 3 betting model edges, Packers vs. Buccaneers is among the biggest edges of Sunday’s entire slate.
Tampa Bay is a 1-point home favorite against Green Bay and our PRO Projections suggest that number is way too short.
Our model sets the Bucs at -3.3 in this matchup, which results in a stunning 6.9% edge when compared the latest NFL odds.
Pick: Buccaneers -1
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Falcons vs. Seahawks Pick
4:25 p.m. ET | FOX
When it comes to Falcons vs. Seahawks, it’s the Action Network’s NFL PRO Betting Systems that scream value.
Atlanta is a match for our Road Trips With Line Move betting strategy, which is 107-69-3 (61%) against-the-spread (ATS) since 2003 by identifying undervalued road teams that sharps are backing.
It may not be easy to back the 0-2 Falcons on the road in Week 3, but history says Atlanta is the smartest side of this matchup.
Pick: Falcons +1
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Rams vs. Cardinals
4:25 p.m. ET | FOX
After leveraging a historically-profitable betting system for Falcons vs. Seahawks, it’s right back to NFL PRO Projections for Rams vs. Cardinals.
Three is the most important number in football betting, so it’s easy to understand why our projection of Arizona +2.4, compared to the consensus line of +3.5, is lighting up as one of Sunday’s top Week 3 betting edges — a 4.1% edge to be exact.
Pick: Cardinals +3.5