An important part of being a successful football bettor is finding NFL picks with value.
But what often gets overlooked is that it’s just as imperative to practice discipline and not make NFL picks just because games are being played.
If a certain wager has value, by all means go for it.
But if the edge isn’t there, hold off and protect your bankroll for value down the road.
According to the Action Network’s NFL PRO picks and predictions, there are two very good bets for Sunday’s Week 10 slate, but we’re also not going to push the issue for the sake of action either.
With this in mind, here are Sunday’s two smartest NFL picks for Week 10.
NFL Picks for Week 10
*NFL odds as of Sunday morning
Browns vs. Dolphins Pick
1 p.m. ET | CBS
Browns vs. Dolphins is your classic case of big bets from respected players taking a position across the market.
Action Network’s NFL public betting data is reporting that Cleveland has attracted 80% of the money wagered on the spread, but on just 51% of the tickets.
In addition, our tools have tracked two separate waves of sharp action flowing on the Browns and the points, which explains why this number had dipped from +4 down to +3.5 as of the time of writing (click here for live NFL odds).
PRO Report Pick: Browns +3.5
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Cowboys vs. Packers Pick
4:25 p.m. ET | FOX
Green Bay needs a win over Dallas today to kick-start a run for the playoffs, and our NFL PRO betting tools are finding value with the Packers and the points.
To start, the Packers are a match for the Action Network’s Fade Covering Teams System, which has produced an against-the-spread (ATS) record of 353-273-18 (56%) by betting against teams like the Cowboys who are overvalued due to recent cover streaks.
In addition, our NFL betting model projects this spread at Green Bay +3.5, leaving a 2.6% edge for bettors will to take a crack on the Packers at +4.5.
PRO Report Pick: Packers +4.5
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