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NFL Lines and Week 8 Betting Model Picks

Two, separate Action PRO betting models submitted two of the same picks for Week 8. Not one, but a couple of Sunday NFL lines stick out in the ATS market.

Below, we’re utilizing our backtested betting trends to find which teams have usually covered the spread in specific spots.

For instance, our “Fade Covering Teams” PRO System shows seven picks already ripe for the taking as it highlights teams due for letdowns.

On the other hand, Action PRO’s ‘blowout’ betting model is also live, with four more selections! (hint: our NFL Week 8 betting tips preview using PRO Systems is on track to feature double-digit picks once it’s released later in the week)

Check out a pair of early NFL picks for Sunday’s Week 8 slate, using key insights and situational angles.


NFL Lines and Week 8 Betting Model Picks

Across the various picks released from both betting models are two of the same selections.

Let me explain both betting trends, and both PRO NFL predictions for Week 8.

The Fade Covering Teams PRO System recommends betting teams covering the spread by more than five points per game, against teams with 0-60% win percentages. This strategy kicks in Week 5, and boasts a 56% win rate lifetime.

[betlabsembed systemid=”1040065″ systemname=”Fade Covering Teams (PRO)” leaguename=”nfl” filters=”%7B%22list%22%3A%5B%22the%20game%20is%20played%20during%20the%20Regular%20season%22%2C%22the%20opposing%20team’s%20win%20percentage%20is%20between%200%25%20and%2060%25%22%2C%22the%20week%20number%20or%20round%20is%205%20or%206%20or%207%20or%208%20or%209%20or%2010%20or%2011%20or%2012%20or%2013%20or%2014%20or%2015%20or%2016%20or%2017%22%2C%22the%20team’s%20average%20cover%20margin%20is%20between%205%20and%20100%22%5D%7D” amountwon=”$5,976″ record=”380-294-19″ winpct=”56%”][/betlabsembed]

Secondly, the “Dogs After Blowout” model notes that teams +3 or more after suffering a blowout loss (defined as losing by 20 or more), historically cover NFL lines 57% of the time.

[betlabsembed systemid=”161205″ systemname=”Dogs After Blowout (PRO)” leaguename=”nfl” filters=”%7B%22list%22%3A%5B%22the%20team’s%20previous%20game%20margin%20is%20between%20-100%20and%20-20%22%2C%22the%20spread%20is%20between%203%20and%2030%22%2C%22the%20game%20is%20played%20during%20the%20Regular%20season%22%5D%7D” amountwon=”$6,266″ record=”335-250-13″ winpct=”57%”][/betlabsembed]

Two teams match both systems in Week 8: The Tennessee Titans (+11) vs. the Detroit Lions, and the Carolina Panthers (+8) vs. the Denver Broncos.

The Lions are covering the spread by a touchdown per game. They’re playing a Titans team off a blowout loss to the Bills last week, accurately highlighting Tennessee as a team traditionally solid against the spread.

The same goes for the Panthers, who were trucked 40-7 by the high-powered Commanders. Denver’s beating lines by more than eight points per game behind rookie quarterback Bo Nix.

They’re both ugly, but both sides traditionally fare well against the spread — something to keep in mind for early Week 8 lines (and perhaps a preview of our holy grail of selections coming later this week).

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