Some big news for PRO subscribers: Sunday of NFL Week 4 is the first time this year PRO Projections have identified sufficient edges in the first touchdown scorers market.
In fact, our analytics team found two solid first touchdown picks for this week’s NFL games: Potential +1000 and +650 payout first TD scorers.
These advanced projections, a staple for PRO subscribers, are developed by experts like Sean Koerner, Chris Raybon, and Nick Giffen. For this specific week, our first touchdown predictions are centered around the Browns vs. Raiders and Titans vs. Dolphins games.
With key factors dissected, let’s unveil our premier betting selections for this weekend.
NFL First Touchdown Picks, Predictions, Odds Week 4
NFL first touchdown picks, or predicting which player will score the first touchdown of the game, is one of the various markets analyzed by PRO Projections.
We recommend betting on opportunities where we have a 3.5% edge or better, and the good news is that multiple Week 4 picks exceed that threshold.
First Touchdown Odds, Pick, Prediction for Browns vs. Raiders
- Jerome Ford +700
- Jakobi Meyers +850
- Brock Bowers +900
- Zamir White +1000
- Gary Brightwell +1000
- Amari Cooper +1000
- Alexander Mattison +1300
- Jerry Jeudy +1300
- Tre Tucker +1400
- Deshaun Watson +1500
Our first premium selection is on Raiders running back Zamir White, who presents the biggest edge in the market.
Despite a slow start to the season, we believe it’s too early to write him off. White will be going up against the Browns, and according to FanDuel sSportsbook, the odds for him to score the first touchdown sit at +1000. This implies a probability of 9%.
However, PRO Projections rate his likelihood higher at 0.13, representing an edge of 4%.
This clear disparity between the predicted probability and the betting odds makes Zamir White a strong candidate for your first touchdown picks this week.
PRO Props Pick: Zamir White to Score First TD (+100)
First Touchdown Odds, Pick, Prediction for Titans vs. Dolphins
- De’von Achane +650
- Tony Pollard +750
- Tyreek Hiller +750
- Jaylen Waddle +950
- Raheem Mostert +950
- Tyler Huntley +1100
- Calvin Ridley +1100
- Will Levis +1300
- Tyjae Spears +1300
- DeAndre Hopkins +1500
Next up is Dolphins running back De’Von Achane, who shows the second largest edge in our projections.
Achane will be in action against the Titans in the prime-time Monday Night Football game. With DraftKings Sportsbook offering odds of +650 for Achane to score the first touchdown, it implies a 13.3% probability.
But, according to PRO Projections, Achane’s likelihood is actually 0.17, giving us an edge of 3.7%.
This makes De’Von Achane a compelling option for those looking to make smart first touchdown picks.
PRO Props Pick: De’Von Achane to Score First TD (+650)
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Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.