Fading the public, windy games and undervalued underdogs comprise the best NFL Week 7 betting tips from PRO Systems.
This weekend’s comprehensive betting preview features four strategies to utilize and five picks to consider, stretched across spread and over/under predictions.
The first game begins early in London, when Jaguars vs. Patriots kicks off at Wembley. Premium selections run all the way through the late-afternoon window, giving bettors a chance to utilize a trio of our cutting-edge systems to make better bets.
NFL Betting Preview: Week 7 Tips, Weather Picks, Situational Angles
Alright: five NFL picks for Sunday via four PRO Systems. Let’s do it.
Two of the five picks are active in the London Game when the Patriots take on the Jaguars at 9:30 a.m. ET.
First up is Action PRO’s blowout model!
Both teams were run out of the stadium last weekend; the Patriots lost by 20 to Houston, the Jags by 19 to Chicago in London.
Believe it or not, history says one team is due to bounce back in a big way.
Our first pick aligns with the “Dogs After Blowout” PRO System.
Historically, teams that suffer a loss by 20 or more points boast an impressive track record the next game compared to public expectations. Specifically, these teams cover the spread 58% of the time in their following game if they are underdogs with a spread of +3 or more. This brings us to the New England Patriots, fitting perfectly into this trend.
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PRO System Pick: Patriots Spread
Moreover, gusts predicted in London play a crucial role in our second pick for Pats vs. Jags.
According to the “High Winds” PRO System, NFL games with 10+ mph winds have gone under the total 57% lifetime.
With Wembley Stadium expected to experience winds reaching 17 mph, it presents a significant factor to consider when making your NFL picks in Week 7.
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PRO System Pick: Patriots vs. Jaguars Under
Moving stateside, our third model, “Bet Against the Public After Bad Game,” provides another angle.
The PRO System angle suggests that teams which scored single digits the previous week, and attract less than 30% of bets in our trackers the next week, cover the spread 61% of the time.
It highlights situations where public sentiment swings too far after a poor showing. In Week 7, the New York Giants coming off a 7-point game last week, and currently not favored by bettors, make an intriguing pick against the spread (+3.5) vs. the Eagles.
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PRO System Pick: Giants Spread
Moving along, the fourth PRO System, labeled “Fade Covering Teams,” suggests another intriguing slant.
In Week 5 and beyond, this system encourages you to bet against teams that have a tendency to cover by more than 5 points per game, especially when facing teams with a winning percentage between zero to sixty percent.
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In Week 7, we’re fading two favorites of -9.5, and taking the underdogs to cover.
The Titans (+9.5) take the spotlight in our NFL predictions for Sunday, as they meet the Bills in Buffalo. The Bills have been covering by a hefty 5.72 points per game, which suggests they may be due for some regression.
PRO System Pick: Titans Spread
Also, the Commanders have been playing beyond expectations led by rookie QB Jayden Daniels.
Having exceeded point spreads by more than 8 points per game to start the season, the Commanders may be due to slide. Therefore Sunday’s recommended play is on the Panthers plus the points.
PRO System Pick: Panthers Spread
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