It’s a holiday weekend, meaning many are preoccupied with dinners, family gatherings, travel, etc. surrounding Christmas, so it’s reasonable to assume that plenty of NFL fans and bettors aren’t as plugged into Sunday’s games as they normally are.
But that also doesn’t correlate with less of a desire to bet Sunday’s NFL Week 16 slate, either. In fact, people sitting around the day after Christmas may be more apt to place wagers, even if they have less information.
This is the precise situation in which The Action Network’s NFL PRO Projections show off their value.
Even if you haven’t been paying close attention, our PRO Projections have been aggregating and analyzing the latest player news and data to pinpoint the top NFL Week 15 betting edges.
And after crunching the numbers, Buccaneers vs. Panthers and Rams vs. Vikings are showing as the best values for Sunday’s slate.
NFL Betting Model Predictions for Week 16
*Odds and betting data as of Sunday morning
Buccaneers vs. Panthers Prediction
1 p.m. ET | FOX
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will be missing wide receivers Mike Evans and Chris Godwin and running back Leonard Fournette on Sunday against the Panthers, forcing this over/under to plummet from 48.5 to 43 at BetMGM.
However, The Action Network’s NFL PRO Projections suggest that move is simply too drastic, so much so that there’s actually value buying back the over.
Our model projects this total at 46.7, resulting in a B-plus graded, 6.9% edge.
PRO Projections Pick: Over 43
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Rams vs. Vikings Prediction
1 p.m. ET | FOX
Looking for a spread betting edge? Then Rams vs. Vikings has you covered!
We project this line at Minnesota +2.1, which translates to 4.9% edge considering the widely-available +3.5 available right now.
With that said, some shops have ticked down to +3, so do yourself a favor and visit The Action Network’s NFL Live Odds Page to pick off one of the many books still hanging the Vikings with the hook.
PRO Projections Pick: Vikings +3.5
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