COVID-19 has not only forced a handful of NFL Week 15 postponements, but it is also affecting plenty of players on teams who will play as scheduled on Sunday.
Breaking news throughout the week has made a huge impact on NFL Week 15 betting odds, making it tough to discern whether it’s money moving lines or simply an adjustment to the absence of key players.
With odds seemingly constantly on the move, it can be tough for bettors to keep up and even more challenging to find value.
However, this is exactly why we developed our real-time NFL PRO Projections.
This feature leverages the latest player news to find value in the ever-changing market by comparing our betting model projections to the latest NFL odds.
And with the dust settled (for now), here are the three biggest betting edges for Sunday’s NFL Week 15 games, including: Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars, New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys and Cincinnati Bengals vs. Denver Broncos.
NFL Betting Model Predictions for Week 15
*Odds and betting data as of Sunday morning
Bengals vs. Broncos Betting Prediction
4:05 p.m. ET | CBS
Key numbers matter in NFL betting and the Bengals vs. Broncos matchup is a prime example.
Our NFL betting model makes this spread Cincinnati +1.3, a 4.1% edge considering the current market consensus of +3 (click here for live NFL odds).
PRO Projections Pick: Bengals +3
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Texans vs. Jaguars Betting Prediction
1 p.m. ET | CBS
I’ve jokingly said the NFL should flex this disaster of a game on paper to Sunday Night Football, but just because it’s bad doesn’t mean it’s not worth betting, either.
Interestingly, the Jaguars became larger favorites after ousting head coach Urban Meyer earlier this week, but The Action Network’s NFL PRO Projections suggest now is the time to buy back the Texans.
Our model projects this spread at Houston +2.7, which translates to a 6.3% edge — the biggest of Sunday’s NFL slate — when compared to the current line of +4.5 odds.
PRO Projections Pick: Texans +4.5
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Cowboys vs. Giants Betting Prediction
1 p.m. ET | FOX
Giants (+11.5) is widely available for the game against the Cowboys, which is a very nice value based on our NFL betting model’s projection of +8.5 odds.
New York’s 4.8% edge is the second largest on the entire slate.
PRO Projections Pick: Giants +11.5
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