Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Buffalo Bills is the first game on tonight’s NFL slate for bettors looking to make a Monday Night Football spread pick.
The Bills are 5.5-point spread favorites against the Jaguars based on the latest NFL odds, with the over/under set at 45.5.
Jaguars vs. Bills is also a match for an Action PRO betting system with a 102-69-3 (60%) against-the-spread (ATS) win rate dating back to the 2005 NFL season.
So what is the smartest way for bettors to approach Jaguars vs. Bills tonight?
To answer that question, let’s look at the Monday Night Football pick that fits nicely into a historically profitable spread betting system.
The 60% Monday Night Football Spread Pick
*Odds as of Monday morning
Seventy-three percent of tickets have come in on Buffalo thus far according to our NFL public betting data.
While not as lopsided, 58% of the money is backing Josh Allen and Company as well.
However, the value appears to be with Jacksonville instead.
Action PRO’s Early Season Winless Teams highlights visiting teams that start a season with back-to-back losses, like the Jaguars.
Teams in this spot have a 102-69-3 (60%) ATS record in Week 3 over the past 19 NFL seasons, so the sample size is certainly a large one.
And while this line is essentially +5.5 at every major sportsbook, the vig does vary.
For example, Jaguars +5.5 is priced at -110 at DraftKings, BetMGM and bet365, while Caesars is five cents better at -105.
So, as always, be sure to shop for the best line (and vig) possible before locking in any NFL wager.
PRO Pick: Jaguars +5.5 (-105) — Caesars
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