NFL bettors have not one, but two games to break down in order to find their favorite Monday Night Football pick.
The action begins with Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Buffalo Bills at 7:30 p.m. ET, followed by Washington Commanders vs. Cincinnati Bengals at 8:15 p.m. ET.
When it comes to Commanders vs. Bengals, Cincinnati is a 7.5-point favorite based on the latest NFL odds. However, Action PRO’s NFL Projections suggest it’s the over/under popping as the smartest Monday Night Football pick for this matchup.
In fact, this Commanders vs. Bengals edge is not only the biggest of tonight’s doubleheader, it’s on track to close as the largest of the entire NFL Week 3 slate.
Below we dig into our Commanders vs. Bengals projections in more detail, including the pick popping with value for Monday Night Football.
Monday Night Football Betting Model Pick for Commanders vs. Bengals
*Odds, projections as of Monday afternoon
The Commanders vs. Bengals over/under sits at a consensus of 46.5 as of the time of writing.
And while this total has dropped from 48.5 since early last week, Action PRO’s betting model indicates now is the time to buy back the over.
Specifically, Action PRO projects this total at 48.9, which translates to a 5% edge when compared to the latest line of 46.5.
In fact, savvy sports bettors can increase this edge even more simply by shopping for the best odds.
For example, two sportsbooks — BetMGM and Caesars — are offering this total at 46 and -110 both ways, providing over bettors an extra half-point of value.
PRO Pick: Over 46 (-110)
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