The smartest Monday Night Football pick for Saints vs. Chiefs doesn’t always come via spreads or over/unders.
Please note that “smartest” doesn’t necessarily mean the most likely to win, but it may instead offer the biggest edge.
For those wondering, Action PRO’s premium picks and sports betting tools calculate edges for a wide variety of bets, with “edge” defined as the difference between our model’s projection and the latest NFL odds.
Looking ahead to Saints vs. Chiefs, it’s a +600 Monday Night Football anytime touchdown pick that caught my eye.
A +600 Monday Night Football Anytime Touchdown Pick
*Odds, edges as of Monday morning
Kansas City is a 5.5-point favorite against New Orleans with tonight’s over/under sitting at 43 based on the latest NFL odds.
However, as mentioned above, Action PRO’s betting model projections are keying in on an anytime touchdown scorer with +600 odds.
Here are the details.
Our projections suggest Chiefs running back Samaje Perine may be undervalued at +600 to find paydirt tonight.
In fact, our data assigns a 3.7% edge for Perine to score at +600 odds, which checks in as the largest touchdown scorer edge for tonight’s Saints vs. Chiefs matchup.
While getting zero carries through the first two weeks of the season, a potential season-ending injury to starting running back Isiah Pacheco has pushed Perine into a larger-than-expected role.
Over the last two games Perine has notched 11 carries, including a touchdown against the Chargers in Week 4.
Additionally, the Kansas City running back has also snagged five catches thus far, providing another avenue for Perine to potentially punch one in on Monday night.
PRO Pick: Samaje Perine (+600) Anytime Touchdown Scorer — FanDuel
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