As we gear up for Thursday Night Football between the Buffalo Bills and the Miami Dolphins, the spotlight falls squarely on Josh Allen prop picks. That’s just the responsibility you carry as QB1 and mayor of stat-stuff city.
The Bills’ dynamic, dual-threat quarterback offers an intriguing array of markets for player props, from passing yards to rushing attempts. Our PRO Projections are all over ’em.
Using PRO Projections — our proprietary betting data developed by a team of expert analysts who identify betting edges by comparing odds, player projections and more — we delve into the best bets tied to Allen’s performance for TNF.
Below, we will explore both rushing and passing prop picks for Allen, with two standout picks flagged as solid value vs. the Dolphins.
Josh Allen Prop Picks, Prediction Thursday for Bills vs Dolphins
The Dolphins are favored and the over/under is notably high for Thursday Night Football. Allen’s versatility makes this matchup particularly enticing for bettors.
Josh Allen Rush Yards
The betting line for Josh Allen’s rush yards is set at 39.5 yards. PRO Projections forecast Allen to rush for 37.5 yards, presenting a 1.6% edge. While this slight difference may seem notable, it doesn’t offer sufficient value to warrant a bet — we recommend a grade of 3.5% or better.
Hence, on Allen’s rush yards, there is no significant advantage, and no bet is recommended.
Josh Allen Rushing Attempts
The first compelling proposition comes with Allen’s rushing attempts, where our PRO Projections estimate he’ll post approximately 8.1.
Given the line is set at 9.5, this represents a clear edge for the under and a B+ grade from our models.
PRO Props Pick: Josh Allen Under 9.5 Rushing Attempts
Josh Allen Pass Attempts
The over/under for Allen’s pass attempts is set at 33.5. Projections suggest a bit lower outcome, at roughly 32.5 passes. Although there is a 4.8% edge favoring the under, it’s certainly not the strongest on the board.
Josh Allen Passing Yards
Finally, we look at Allen’s passing yards, where the betting line is pegged at 248.5 yards.
Our data predicts him for more like 236.5 yards, delivering a B- edge on the under. This marks the third-best passing yards prop among all quarterbacks in Week 2.
PRO Props Pick: Josh Allen Under 248.5 Pass Yards
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Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.