NFL Week 1 concludes with the New York Jets visiting the San Francisco 49ers on Monday Night Football.
San Francisco is a 4-point favorite against New York as of the time of writing with the over/under listed at 43.5.
In addition, the market’s sharpest NFL bettors are making a clear Jets vs. 49ers spread prediction for Monday Night Football.
And even more important is the fact that Action PRO’s NFL projections are also showing a betting model edge on the sharp side of this matchup.
Here’s what I mean.
Sharps, Projections Aligned on Jets vs. 49ers Spread Prediction
*Odds, projections as of Monday morning
As mentioned above, San Francisco sits at -4 against New York, with some shops offering -3.5.
However, this spread initially opened at Jets +6 before sharps steamed New York and the points on multiple occasions, leaving oddsmakers little choice but to continue shortening this price.
For those wondering, steam refers to sudden, uniform line movement across the market that is often the result of bettors with the resources and respect to move odds getting down on the same side of the same game at multiple sportsbooks, all at once.
But even after the line movement, Action PRO’s NFL projections are still finding value in the Jets.
Our model projects New York at +3.4, which translates to a 1.2% edge when compared to current consensus of +4.
Savvy bettors can lock in even more value by picking off Jets +4.5 at DraftKings, which is a considerably better line than the +3.5s and +4s that dominate the market right now.
PRO Pick: Jets +4.5 (-112) — DraftKings
_InlineAdBlock