Both the Jaguars and Texans are off bad losses. One side is attracting strong support from sharps and expert betting trends.
The Texans and the Jacksonville Jaguars square off in an intriguing AFC South showdown on Sunday at 1 p.m.
The Texans, coming into this game with a 2-1 record, face a struggling Jaguars team that has yet to find a win this season, sitting at 0-3.
Star quarterbacks Trevor Lawrence of the Jaguars and C.J. Stroud of the Texans will be the focal points of this matchup as both teams look to find footing.
The betting lines reflect the Texans’ home advantage, with a spread of Texans -6.5 and a total over/under set at 44.5 points. Let’s break down the betting angles of this potentially pivotal game.
Jaguars vs. Texans Odds, Picks, Predictions
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- Jaguars vs. Texans spread: Texans -6
- Jaguars vs. Texans over/under: 44.5
- Jaguars vs. Texans moneyline: Jaguars +215, Texans -267
Spread
Stroud and the Texans are -6.
Over/Under
The over/under is set at 44.5 points.
Moneyline
The moneyline pits the Jaguars underdogs at +215, with the Texans marked at -267.
Player Prop
PRO Projections show a small edge on Jaguars WR Gabe Davis to score the first touchdown (+2200). 22-1 odds imply a 4.35% chance.
However, we give Davis a 6% chance to score, which equates to fair odds of about +1566. It’s a 1.6% edge overall.
PRO Projections recommend a 3.5% or better when tailing, so this one doesn’t exactly meet the criteria.
Jaguars vs. Texans Prediction
Using various expert betting signals and PRO insights, we uncover deeper layers of analysis for this matchup.
Point Spread
According to our expert signals, the Jaguars to cover the spread presents notable interest.
Three of our top NFL experts are favoring against the spread.
Also, Ttwo PRO Systems are highlighting value on the Jaguars, including the “Early Season Winless Teams (PRO)” system, which holds a 60% win rate and a 16% ROI.
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Finally, the Jaguars are drawing 49% of the money and 29% of the bets.
[expertpickswidget league=”nfl” gameid=”227412″ date=”20240929″ week=”4″ seasontype=””][/expertpickswidget]
Total
The over has attracted 78% of the money and 56% of the total bets.
Sharp bettors have been favoring the under, creating a strategic contrast to the public money favoring the over.
Odds to Win
One of our top NFL experts is betting on the Jaguars to win outright.
Our PRO Pick
Analyzing these insights and signals, the best betting angle for this game lies with the Jaguars on the spread. The combination of expert backing, profitable PRO Systems, and considerable money flow creates a compelling case for Jacksonville +6
Jaguars vs. Texans Betting Trends
- Jaguars had the worst loss of Week 3, losing by 37 pts to the Cardinals. In the last 20 years, teams to lose by 30+ pts and are underdogs of 4 pts or more in their next game are 89-50-3 ATS (64%).
Jaguars vs. Texans Weather
[gameforecast league=”nfl” gameid=”227412″ date=”20240929″][/gameforecast]
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