We’re keeping a close watch on the Jaguars vs. Dolphins weather this Sunday for NFL Week 1. This high-stakes season opener matches two offensive powerhouses at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami.
A lot is riding on this game from a betting perspective, particularly given the skill players involved.
Turning to the odds, the Dolphins are currently favored by about 3.5 points. Our model, however, slightly adjusts the line to Dolphins -2.8. The over/under sits high at 49.5, with our projections pushing it just slightly higher to 50. We anticipate the final score to hover around Dolphins 26.4 to Jaguars 23.6.
Let’s transition to the conditions expected for Jaguars vs. Dolphins.
Jaguars vs. Dolphins Weather, Projections, Odds, NFL Sunday Forecast for Week 1
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Weather-wise, it’s going to be a scorcher at 92 degrees, making it the second-hottest game this Sunday.
Winds will be around 9 mph, blowing from east to west, complicating kicks toward the west goalpost. Despite generally decent playing conditions, the wind always carries the potential to disrupt game flow.
[gameforecast league=”nfl” gameid=”227305″ date=”2024-09-08″][/gameforecast]
For example, this game is very close to setting off one of our 57%-winning weather models. And if you’re interested in two premium picks supported by historically-profitable weather data.
When it comes to weather impacting the picks, key data suggests you pay close attention to one element: Wind.
Wind in the 10-50 mph range dramatically affects NFL over/unders, with 57% of such games tending to go under historically.
Given these historical precedents, the under bet might be more favorable in other windy matchups like Cardinals-Bills (14-17 mph) and Cowboys-Browns (13-14 mph) this Sunday – both of which fit the model.
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