A bunch of PRO signals agree which team is going to cover the spread for the London Game in Week 6.
No. 1 overall pick Caleb Williams and the Chicago Bears take on former top pick Trevor Lawrence and the Jaguars. Scheduled for an early 9:30 a.m. ET kickoff at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, the Week 6 clash pits two teams with contrasting records.
The Jaguars enter the game at 1-4. They beat the Colts last week 37-34 to break their skid, and ultimately were the last team in football to record a win.
The Bears (3-2), meanwhile, are aiming to win their third straight. The Bears are marginal favorites for the London Game, with the spread at -1 and the over/under set at 44.5.
Transitioning into our deep dive, let’s explore the current odds landscape, which ultimately reveals a best bet.
Jaguars vs. Bears Odds, Picks, Predictions
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- Jaguars vs. Bears spread: Bears -1
- Jaguars vs. Bears over/under: 44.5
- Jaguars vs. Bears moneyline: Jaguars -100, Bears -120
Spread
The Bears are favored by one point against the spread.
Over/Under
The market is expecting about 44.5 total points according to the over/under.
Moneyline
The moneyline for this matchup has the Bears at -120 and the Jaguars at -100.
Player Prop
Jaguars WR Gabe Davis is +410 to score a touchdown, implying a 19.4% chance.
According to our PRO Projections, we give Davis a 22% probability to find the end zone. It’s a 2.4% edge, which ultimately falls short of the recommended bet threshold of 3.5%
Jaguars vs. Bears Prediction
Four of our five PRO Signals match on a best bet when the Jaguars and Bears meet in London.
Point Spread
The Bears covered against the Rams in Week 4, and then dismantled the Panthers to boost not only their overall record, but margin against the spread.
The “Fade Covering Teams” PRO System recommends fading teams like the Bears, who have been covering the spread by more than five points per game. Chicago has beaten the spread by exactly five points per game.
This trend is active in Week 5 and beyond, when the opponent owns a win percentage between 0-60%. The opponent covers 57% of the time, highlighting the Jaguars as a smart bet against the spread in Week 6.
Also, Jacksonville is the big-money side: Sharp Action, Big Money and Top Experts all lit up our PRO Report with bets on the Jaguars to cover.
[expertpickswidget league=”nfl” gameid=”227334″ date=”20241013″ week=”6″ seasontype=””][/expertpickswidget]
Total
PRO insights favor the under 44.5 due to sharp action rolling in. Also, one top NFL expert is backing the under, and with tracked professional money supporting it, it’s touted as a favorable play in PRO Report. International unders have admittedly been red-hot.
Odds to Win
There are no PRO signals active on this game.
Our PRO Pick
Utilizing comprehensive PRO insights, our recommendation leans confidently toward the Jaguars covering the spread.
Combining the historical strength of PRO Systems and market-adjusting sharp action favoring this outcome, savvy bettors may find notable value here. As the Jaguars aim to recalibrate their season, these indicators suggest they hold the edge against the spread in a crucial matchup across the pond.
Bears vs. Jaguars Betting Trends
Here are some notable London Game betting trends courtesy of researcher Evan Abrams:
- Bears last covered 5 in a row as favorites back in 2018 and they haven’t covered six in a row as favorites since 1994-95.
- For Trevor Lawrence, this will be his 5th game overseas, he is 3-1 SU/ATS, averaging 22 PPG scored and covering the spread by 5.8 PPG.
Bears vs. Jaguars Weather
[gameforecast league=”nfl” gameid=”227334″ date=”20241013″][/gameforecast]
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