[gameheader haspick=”false” league=”nfl” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/nyg.png” awayname=”New York Giants” awayslug=”new-york-giants” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/sf.png” homename=”San Francisco 49ers” homeslug=”san-francisco-49ers” date=”Thursday, Sept. 21″ time=”8:15 p.m. ET” network=”Prime Video”][/gameheader]
[subheader text=”WR Parris Campbell” subtext=”Longest Reception Under 15.5 Receiving Yards (-125, BetMGM)” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/nyg.png” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/779359_BetMGM800x200@1x.png” trailinglink=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/online-sports-betting/reviews/betmgm” trailinglinkfollow=”false”][/subheader]
Campbell has an average depth of target of 3.7 yards downfield this season, which is the third lowest among qualified WRs and TEs. He also hasn’t been set up to get too many yards after the catch. According to NextGenStats, he’s only seen an expected yards after the catch of 2.3, which is exactly what he’s averaged.
When Campbell does run routes a bit further down the field, they tend to overlap with Giants TE Darren Waller. So, we shouldn’t expect Campbell to get too many deep looks.
If we want to combine Campbell’s last two seasons, only eight of his 69 receptions have gone for 16 or more yards.
I’d give Campbell a 68% chance of staying under 15.5 yards, so I’d bet this down to about -150. I have Campbell’s median for this prop closer to 12.
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