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Eagles vs Buccaneers Picks, Odds, Predictions for NFL Week 4

Sharp bettors are all over a rematch of last year’s NFC playoffs.

As we gear up for an NFL Week 4 clash, all eyes are on the matchup between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Sunday’s tilt’s at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa Bay, kickoff at 1 p.m. ET.

Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts and running back Saquon Barkley led a comeback win last week, while Baker Mayfield and the Buccaneers are looking to rebound from a home loss.

Both teams come into this game with a 2-1 record, setting the stage for a highly competitive encounter.

Transitioning to the betting landscape, the odds table highlights some intriguing figures for this matchup.

Eagles vs. Buccaneers Odds, Picks, Predictions

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  • Eagles vs. Buccaneers spread: Eagles -1.5 (-110), Buccaneers +1.5 (-110)
  • Eagles vs. Buccaneers over/under: 43 (o43 -105 / u43 -115)
  • Eagles vs. Buccaneers moneyline: Eagles -120, Buccaneers +105

Spread

Philadelphia enters this game as a slight favorite with a -1.5 spread at odds of -110. Tampa Bay, on the other hand, is an underdog with a +1.5 spread at the same odds.

Over/Under

The over/under for this game is set at 43 points. The number’s been falling with injuries to key players, especially Eagles WR DeVonta Smith and OL Lane Johnson.

Moneyline

For those looking to bet on a straight winner, the moneyline has the Eagles at -122 and the Buccaneers at +100. The prices imply the Eagles have a 56% chance to win, the Bucs 48%
Player Prop

Scanning PRO Props, one bet with a light edge for the Eagles vs. Buccaneers game is Mayfield to score the first touchdown. His odds to score anytime are +900 at FanDuel, implying a 10% chance to score.

However, we project Mayfield to get in the endzone 12% of the time. Though there’s an edge (2%), it falls short of the recommended bet threshold of 3.5%.

Eagles vs. Buccaneers Prediction

Transitioning to expert picks and insights, there’s a prediction to lock in using key resources in the PRO Report.

Point Spread

There’s a big discrepancy between tickets and money.

As it stands, the sharp side is the Buccaneers plus the points. With the Buccaneers garnering 69% of the money from only 47% of the bets, this contrast indicates strong backing from sharp bettors.

There are also notable signals from sharp money on Tampa Bay, underscoring professional bettors’ confidence in the Buccaneers to cover the spread.

[expertpickswidget league=”nfl” gameid=”227409″ date=”20240929″ week=”4″ seasontype=””][/expertpickswidget]

Total

Our NFL power ratings suggest a total of 44.6 points, which is slightly higher than the current line of 43.

However, sharp money is heavily favoring the under, as is big money – the under’s receiving 62% of the money on 42% of bets.

Odds to Win

No PRO signals are active on the moneyline.

Our PRO Pick

With all this information in mind, our PRO insights make it clear that the best pick for this game lies with the Buccaneers to cover the spread. Sharp action and substantial money are both backing Tampa Bay, making it the most compelling play of the matchup.

Eagles vs. Buccaneers Betting Trends

  • In his career, Jalen Hurts is 7-14-1 ATS as a favorite away from home. In the last 20 years, he’s the 5th-least profitable QB as a favorite away from home
  • Under Nick Sirianni, the Eagles are just 2-5 ATS when playing on a road trip, including 0-5 ATS since the start of 2022

Eagles vs. Buccaneers Weather

[gameforecast league=”nfl” gameid=”227409″ date=”20240929″][/gameforecast]


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Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.


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