Dolphins vs. Jets NFL Prediction: 61% Profitable Betting Algorithm Pick Since 2005 Targets Spread

Dolphins vs. Jets Odds

Odds via FanDuel as of Sunday morning

Action Network has developed a historically profitable betting system that reports a return on investment (ROI) of 19% since 2005.

The algorithm has been profitable 61% of the time since the Bush administration, going 109-69-2 over that timeframe.

The pick is always on the spread and only lights up under certain parameters. The algorithm also incorporates tracking data proprietary to Action Network.

Statistical significance is ensured by using a massive data set over a long time horizon.

If you had bet $100 on each game that has fit this particular betting algorithm, you’d be up about $3,500 — that’s roughly $210 per year.

Compare the 19% ROI to the average annual return of the S&P 500, which has hovered at around 8% for over a century. That index is down about 24% year-to-date. Meanwhile, Bitcoin, for instance, is down about 58% during that same timeframe.

Still, despite similar principles regarding long time horizons and sample sizes, don’t use this betting algorithm as an alternative to investing in the stock market. Sports betting inherently has more variance game-to-game.

The 61% Profitable Betting Algorithm

This betting system targets teams on road trips that lost their previous contest. Those types of teams tend to be dramatically undervalued in the market.

Couple that with sharp action — defined by the team’s spread moving down since its opening line — and you have an algorithmic pick on your hands.

For instance, the Dolphins’ opening odds of -2.5 have moved to a rough market consensus of -3.5.

That indicates sharp bettors have steamed Miami’s odds into a more expensive position.

The game also needs to be a conference game.

These parameters jibe with the Dolphins’ spread at a market-best price at BetRivers at -3 (-121).

Make sure to grab the Dolphins at -3 so you don’t give up the hook. Use our live NFL odds page to make sure you get that number since it’s not available everywhere.

Another data point: Teddy Covers. Teddy Bridgewater is 43-21 against the spread over his NFL career, including 24-6 ATS on the road. Over the last 20 years, Bridgewater is the fifth-most profitable quarterback ATS. This data is courtesy of the Action Network’s director of research Evan Abrams.

Most Profitable QBs ATS Last 20 Years

1. Tom Brady: 192-133-9 ATS
2. Aaron Rodgers: 133-93-5 ATS
3. Peyton Manning: 114-86-9 ATS
4. Drew Brees: 154-128-6 ATS
5. Teddy Bridgewater: 43-21 ATS

As aforementioned, these types of spread picks have won 61% of the time since 2005.

But while Sunday might be the day to cash in, please do keep in mind that this system applies to roughly 10 NFL games per season.

This might be an opportunity to cash in, but do understand that this is a long-term investment.

In order to maximize your 19% return on investment, make sure to follow through whenever this PRO system provides picks for the rest of the season.

Pick: Dolphins -3.5 or better

Bet Miami -3.5 at FanDuel Right Now

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