cowboys-vs-bills-pick-nfl-model-prediction-sunday-2023 Stephon Gilmore, NFL CB Cowboys

Cowboys vs. Bills Spread, Pick: 57% NFL Model Prediction (Sunday, December 17)

Cowboys vs. Bills NFL Spread Sunday

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A unique, 57%-winning NFL model in Sports Insights’ Bet Labs popped on the Cowboys vs. Bills spread for this Sunday.

Today’s Cowboys vs. Bills pick features a unique betting edge and angle: Fading a certain side against the spread.

Sunday’s NFL betting pick for Dallas vs. Buffalo factors in betting line range, the over/under and other key info.

Dak Prescott and the Cowboys are the best bet in football this season against the spread.

Following a prime-time cover last week, the Cowboys are 9-4 ATS.

Josh Allen and the Bills, meanwhile, are fresh off an ATS win, too.

Buffalo hasn’t lost against the spread in more than a month.

Yet, there’s one team today in Cowboys vs. Bills which has been historically awful in this spot.

It’s the NFL Game of the Week Sunday! Here’s a 57% model prediction against the spread.


Cowboys vs. Bills Pick | Spread Prediction

The last time the system pinged on a Cowboys game, it won on a primetime stage.

Utilizing our premium models in Bet Labs, today’s big pick against the spread for Cowboys vs. Bills is Buffalo to cover the spread.

Dallas unfortunately matches a betting angle labeled “Fade Covering Teams.”

This 57%-winning model shows value picking against:

  • Teams covering the spread by more than 5 PPG (Cowboys)
  • Vs. opponents with a win percentage between 0-60% (Bills)
  • Past Week 4

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Dallas is exceptional against the spread! The NFC powerhouse has covered by an average of 7.81 points per game this season.

However, teams of this caliber, in this spot — later in the year, versus a team like Buffalo (54% win percentage) — only cover about 43% of the time.

Fade Covering Teams was active for Cowboys vs. Seahawks in Week 13, correctly nailing Seattle plus the points.

Sunday’s NFL model prediction in Week 15 is Josh Allen and Buffalo to cover vs. Prescott and the red-hot Cowboys.

PRO Report Prediction: Bills Against the Spread

For more Action Network coverage of the 2023 NFL season, check out the latest NFL odds, as well as the public betting percentage breakdowns for all games.


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