There’s a sharp pick on the radar for NFL Week 4.
The stage is set in East Rutherford, N.J., with the Dallas Cowboys visiting the New York Giants for a 8:15 p.m. ET kickoff. As always, Thursday Night Football can be streamed on Amazon Prime Video.
The current betting lines have the Cowboys as -5.5 point favorites, with odds of -110 on the spread, while the Giants are +5.5, also at -110. The over/under is 45.5 points.
Both the Cowboys and Giants enter Thursday Night game with identical 1-2 records, setting the stage for a high-stakes clash.
Cowboys vs. Giants Odds, Picks, Predictions
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- Cowboys vs. Giants spread: Cowboys -5.5
- Cowboys vs. Giants over/under: 45.5 points
- Cowboys vs. Giants moneyline: Cowboys -250, Giants +200
Spread
The spread for this game stands at Cowboys -5.5.
Over/Under
Initially set at 44, the over/under line moved to 45.5.
Moneyline
The moneyline for this matchup has the Cowboys at -258 and the Giants at +200. This indicates a 72% implied probability for a Cowboys win versus a 32% implied chance for the Giants.
Player Prop
One of the more interesting player prop bets for the Cowboys vs. Giants game is Malik Nabers to score the first touchdown.
FanDuel offers odds of +1000 to score the first TD. According to our PRO Projections, Nabers has a 0.11 chance to score. It’s a 1.9% edge, which falls short of the recommended bet threshold of 3.5%
Cowboys vs. Giants Prediction
Pro insights reveal sharp betting patterns on the Thursday Night Football betting spread.
Not only is a side catching big money, but top experts in the Action App also agree in a big way.
Point Spread
Our tracking shows significant expert and big-money activity on the Cowboys to cover the spread.
Notably, 90% of the action is backing Dak Prescott and Dallas to cover. Also, twice as much expert action has been submitted on the Cowboys against the spread.
[expertpickswidget league=”nfl” gameid=”227406″ date=”20240926″ week=”4″ seasontype=””][/expertpickswidget]
Total
For the over/under, the sharp-action signal is live on the under, though that was activated once the total hit 45.5. There’s no real value here.
Odds to Win
From a moneyline perspective, there’s no perceivable edge according to PRO Projections. The odds imply that the market has effectively priced the likelihood of a Cowboys win.
Our PRO Pick
To sum it up, our primary Cowboys vs. Giants picks indicate a clear lean towards the Cowboys covering the spread, backed by expert and data-driven insights.
Cowboys vs. Giants Betting Trends
- Giants QB Daniel Jones is 1-13 SU and 5-9 ATS at night over his NFL career, including 0-6 SU at home at night.
- Cowboys QB Dak Prescott is 32-14-2 ATS vs. teams under .500
Thursday Night Football Weather
[gameforecast league=”nfl” gameid=”227406″ date=”2024-09-26″][/gameforecast]
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Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.