The stage is set for a surprising, exciting NFL showdown as the Washington Commanders take on the Baltimore Ravens Sunday of NFL Week 6.
The 1 p.m. ET kick at M&T Bank Stadium is headlined by Offensive Rookie of the Year contender Jayden Daniels for the Commanders, who boast a solid 4-1 record, against dynamic dual-threat Lamar Jackson and the 3-2 Ravens.
As these two high-impact players gear up to showcase their talents, fans and bettors alike are analyzing every angle. The Ravens are favored by a touchdown. The consensus over/under is pegged at 51.5 points, peaking as high as 52.
As these teams collide, the Commanders vs. Ravens spread is particularly intriguing using PRO insights.
Commanders vs. Ravens Odds, Picks, Predictions
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- Commanders vs. Ravens spread: Ravens -6.5 (-115) | Commanders +6.5 (-105)
- Commanders vs. Ravens over/under: 51.5
- Commanders vs. Ravens moneyline: Commanders +240, Ravens -305
Spread
The Ravens are favored anywhere between -6.5/7.
Over/Under
The consensus over/under is pegged at 51.5 points, peaking as high as 52.
Moneyline
The moneyline for this matchup pits the Commanders at +240 and the Ravens at -305.
Player Prop
Ravens RB Justice Hill is +360 to score a touchdown, implying a 21.7% chance.
PRO Projections, meanwhile tab Hill a 23% probability to score at any point. It’s only a 1.3% edge, which ultimately falls short of the recommended bet threshold of 3.5%.
Commanders vs. Ravens Prediction
The best way to bet Commanders vs. Ravens is against the spread, using money data and PRO Systems.
Point Spread
Action PRO Systems’ “Fade Covering Teams” angle suggests caution for teams like the Commanders, who have consistently covered spreads this season.
Historically, when such teams meet those with a 0-60% win percentage after Week 5, the opponent — in this case the Ravens — covers 57% of the time.
Interestingly, the Ravens are also attracting 57% of the money on just 42% of the bets. This divergence hints that substantial wagers lie with Baltimore, underscoring potential public and professional disagreement.
Plus, with no moneyline PRO signals active on Washington, there isn’t any respected action banking on the Commanders to win outright.
The recommendation is to fade the Commanders on the spread.
[expertpickswidget league=”nfl” gameid=”227436″ date=”20241013″ week=”6″ seasontype=””][/expertpickswidget]
Total
There’s a split on the over/under, which is loaded with action nonetheless.
Sharp wagers are coming in on the over, moving the over up to a peak of 52.
However, the under is drawing 35% of the money on 28% of bets, hinting at significant bets favoring a lower total score.
The PRO System “High Winds” also lends support to the under, boasting a 57% win rate and 10% ROI. Two of our seasoned NFL experts are aligned on the under, providing further confidence in this angle.
Odds to Win
There are no PRO signals active on this game.
Our PRO Pick
Upon evaluating PRO insights and market dynamics, the PRO Report’s recommendation is betting the Ravens to cover the spread. The fade of Washington and big-money bets pouring in on Baltimore cement the pick on Lamar Jackson and the Ravens to deflate the Commanders hype.
Betting Trends for Ravens vs. Commanders
Here are some notable London Game betting trends courtesy of researcher Evan Abrams:
- Lamar Jackson has faced an NFC team 22 times in his career. He is 21-1 SU (11-11 ATS) in those games, with his only loss coming to the Giants back in 2022.
- This is one of just a few games that could close with a total of 50+ this week. Totals of 50+ are 4-0 to the under this season, going under the total by 13.6 PPG.
Ravens vs. Commanders Weather
[gameforecast league=”nfl” gameid=”227436″ date=”20241013″][/gameforecast]
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