Chiefs vs. Broncos fits an elite betting system that aligns with just 10 games every year.
The algorithm factors in home/away streaks, ATS margins, sharp movement and more.
Since 2005, the algo has gone 111-70-3 for a 61% win rate. A $500 per game bettor would have netted about $18,000 in the interim.
Chiefs vs. Broncos NFL Prediction
The team you would target for this algorithm needs to have:
- Had their spread reduce in value by at least a point
- Lost their last game
- Been on at least a two-game road streak
The game also needs to be a conference regular season game.
All of these parameters fit the Chiefs’ spread at a market-best price of -8.5 (-110) at FanDuel.
The Chiefs are coming off a loss at the Bengals last week, which dismantled their spot as the Super Bowl favorites. This contest against the Broncos is the second of two straight road games for Kansas City. The Chiefs opened as 7.5-point favorites before sharp action pushed that line to its consensus of -8.5.
Teams coming off a loss, on a road trip and with sharp action on their spread have historically done fantastic ATS. As mentioned, teams of this nature have covered 61% of the time since 2005.
All systems are a go for a value play on Kansas City to cover on Sunday afternoon.
Pick: Chiefs -8.5 |
