When it comes to NFL Same Game Parlays (SGP), a Cardinals vs. Bills pick may be the best for Sunday’s Week 1 slate.
Specifically, our Action PRO premium picks, tools and analysis is popping with both spread and over/under bets offering value in Cardinals vs. Bills, providing two potential SGP legs right there.
Then, by looking at those two legs, we can add a third by correlating a player prop pick to two Action PRO bets to build a nifty three-leg SGP for Week 1.
Here’s a simple, yet correlated Cardinals vs. Bills SPG pick with +404 odds for Sunday.
A +404 Cardinals vs. Bills SGP Pick for Week 1
*Odds and data as of Friday afternoon
SGP Leg No. 1: Cardinals vs. Bills Spread
Buffalo is a 6.5-point favorite against Arizona as of the time of writing.
However, according to Action PRO’s Road Dog, Low Total After Bad Season System, there is value in taking the points with the Cardinals.
Action Network’s Alex Kolodziej already laid out the details of this system, but the key takeaway for the purposes of this article is that Arizona fits a historically profitable strategy that is 368-261-16 (59%) against the spread since 2004.
Hello SGP leg number one.
Pick: Cardinals +6.5
SGP Leg No. 2: Cardinals vs. Bills Over/Under
The latest weather forecast is calling for steady 13 mph winds at Highmark Stadium, making the Cardinals vs. Bills under a match for our High Winds System, which is 602-454-9 (57%) dating back to the 2003 NFL season.
Pick: Under 47.5
SGP Leg No. 3: Josh Allen Passing Yards
While legs one and two are relatively straightforward based on Action PRO’s data, we need to get a little creative here.
In a situation where the Cardinals cover 6.5 points and the game goes under the total, it’s reasonable to assume that Bills quarterback Josh Allen would likely have a sub-par passing game as well for those first two legs to hit.
As a result, I’m adding Allen to go under 248.5 passing yards to complete our three-leg Cardinals vs. Bills SGP.