buccaneers-vs-patriots-nfl-betting-model-prediction-pick-sunday-night-football

Buccaneers vs. Patriots NFL Betting Model Prediction, Pick: Sunday Night Football’s Juicy Spread Edge

Buccaneers vs. Patriots NFL Odds

Buccaneers Odds -7
Patriots Odds +7
Over/Under 49
Date Sunday, Oct. 3
Time 8:20 p.m. ET
TV NBC

*Odds as of Saturday afternoon

Are you sick of hearing and reading about Tom Brady’s return to Foxboro to take on Bill Belichick and the Patriots?

Then one more piece shouldn’t be all that unnerving, especially when we’re breaking down how to bet Buccaneers vs. Patriots on Sunday Night Football, right?

This line has been on the move this week with bettors all over Brady and the Buccaneers.

Value depends on the number you’re betting, and that’s been very much the story regarding how to approach Sunday night’s Buccaneers vs. Patriots matchup.

Using our NFL PRO Projections, please let me explain.

Buccaneers vs. Patriots NFL Betting Model Prediction

Insanely one-sided Buccaneers money has flowed all week, pushing this spread from Tampa Bay -5.5 to the key number of -7.

While there wasn’t any value at 5.5, our NFL PRO Projections suggest that this number is ready for buyback.

The Action Network’s NFL betting model projects this spread at Patriots +5.2, translating to a 3.3% edge at the current line of +7.

Bettors ready to pounce certainly have enough reason to take New England right now, but those willing to gamble might considering waiting this out a bit longer.

With 90% of the tickets already on Tampa Bay and no end to this lopsided spread action in sight, there’s a decent chance that sportsbooks will eventually move to Pats +7.5 in order to attract money on the underdogs and balance their books.

Should this move happen, contrarian bettors can lock in even more value with New England and the hook off a full touchdown.

Be sure to visit our NFL Live Odds Page often throughout the day and/or download The Action Network’s FREE mobile app to track live Week 4 odds, including the latest Buccaneers vs. Patriots spread.

PRO Report Pick: Patriots +7

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