The Best Super Bowl Squares for Your Chiefs-49ers Pool
Are you organizing or playing in a Super Bowl squares pool? Well, you’re in the right place.
I simulated 49ers vs. Chiefs 10,000 times to highlight the best Super Bowl squares. Below, you can get my projected win probabilities for each quarter and the final score, along with the combinations you’ll want to target.
Best Super Bowl Squares: Chiefs-49ers
The best Super Bowl squares are exactly what you’d expect: Combinations of 0s, 3s and 7s — aka numbers common in football between field goals (3) and touchdowns (7) and the two combined (10).
Before going through all four quarters, here are the best numbers for the entire game:
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First Quarter Squares
It’s no surprise that in the first quarter, 0-0 is the square with the highest probability of winning, followed by combinations of 0s, 3s and 7s.
Variance increases as a game progresses, so the probabilities for the first quarter are more “straightforward” than for the final score.
Second Quarter Squares
The best numbers for the second quarter are combinations of 0s and 7s, but their probabilities decrease relative to the first quarter.
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Third Quarter Squares
The third quarter isn’t all that different from the second, though 3s continue to decline since those are less likely after teams cross 13 points.
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Final Score Squares
With a four-point spread, the value of 49ers 7 and Chiefs 3 sees the highest probability for the final score numbers.
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