Kittle has scored a touchdown in each of his last two games. That might be something to take note of because Kittle tends to be streaky — he had a three-touchdown game against the Cowboys in Week 5 and closed the 2022 regular season with seven touchdowns in his last four games.
On paper, the Seahawks defense is one Kittle should have success against. Seattle ranks 23rd in DVOA vs. tight ends, 10th in DVOA to deep passes and 28th in DVOA to short passes. Kittle, Christian McCaffrey and Deebo Samuel each have average depth of targets less than 10 yards so Seattle could be in serious trouble.
Lumen Field has also been a home away from home for Kittle, who’s gone off in his last two games at the venue:
- Week 15 (2022): 4 catches, 93 yards, 2 TDs
- Week 13 (2021): 9 catches, 181 yards, 2 TD
Now, I will say that this being the late primetime game, you can likely wait till closer to kickoff and get a better number. +160 was my expected odds so +175 is my threshold.
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