49ers vs. Packers Odds
49ers Odds | +5.5 |
Packers Odds | -5.5 |
Over/Under | 47.5 |
Time | 8:15 p.m. ET |
TV | FOX |
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here. |
This massive Divisional Round playoff game between the 49ers and Packers fits one of The Action Network’s PRO Betting Systems that has produced a 65% against-the-spread (ATS) win rate since 2005.
The historically-fruitful algorithm fits roughly three NFL playoff games per year and has produced a profit of $11,182 for $1,000 bettors, or about $700 per year.
That’s a solid win rate over a long sample size. For reference, a success rate of 52.4% is enough to turn a profit.
The system has a historical 25% return on investment (ROI). Of course, anything above 0% is an ROI win. Any ROI above 8% beats the stock market’s average annual return.
Read further to see what the algorithm is, the theory behind it and how to take advantage for 49ers vs. Packers tonight.
49ers vs. Packers Betting System Pick
This betting algorithm fades the public on popular playoff favorites with point spreads of -5.5 or greater.
Largely, popular favorites that lay that many points are overvalued in the market.
“Popular” is defined as having 51% or more of the individual bets. The Packers have 56% of the bets as of Saturday morning.
Retail bettors have already hammered this line from its open at Packers -4.5 to Packers -6. Sharp and big money bettors then bet in droves on the 49ers and had the line revert back to Packers -5.5.
The betting system also ensures that the total of the game is less than 50 in order to reduce variability.
As aforementioned, this historically-profitable system matches only about three NFL playoff games per year, on average. While Saturday may be the opportunity to cash in, this is an investment that pays dividends over the long-term rather than as a one-off hit.
Staying disciplined in following through on every game that fits this system is paramount to cashing in that full 25% ROI.
Betting System Pick: 49ers +5.5.
_PromoID=[12553, 13404, 13400]