The sharpest Week 9 college football predictions feature a variety of situational insights from PRO Systems.
Week 9 picks submitted by Action PRO models include teams in letdown spots, how to bet three games featuring both teams in the Top 25, and a unique trend highlighting undervalued road teams.
Picks include edges for Michigan State vs. Michigan and LSU vs. Texas A&M, as well as Washington vs. Indiana – the site of College GameDay in Week 9.
Overall, check out these four betting strategies from PRO Systems, which compiled a list of nine picks for college football Saturday.
Sharp College Football Predictions for Week 9
One of the best ways to capitalize on the spread market is confidently betting teams which are traveling. Last week, our Road Streak model nailed two easy wins featuring teams (South Carolina and Wisconsin) on back-to-back roadies.
We found that teams between their second and fifth consecutive road games, in certain power conferences, actually cover the spread 57% of the time.
Plus, when the closing total is 54 or less, and the game is attracting significant volume, those teams cover 60% of the time.
Four teams in Week 9 perhaps shouldn’t be docked due to perceived travel or fatigue, and have typically performed well against the spread.
- Nebraska (at Ohio State)
- LSU (at Texas A&M)
- SMU (at Duke)
- Washington (at Indiana)
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Next up is our premium fade model labeled “Scoring Streak Fade.”
Home favorites historically underperform the week after scoring less than 10 points.
Since tracking, teams in this spot cover just 41% of spreads. Bad news for Michigan (-4 vs. Michigan State) and Arizona (-3.5 vs. West Virginia), who are both laying chalk after mustering just a touchdown in respective losses last Saturday.
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Digging more into the Michigan State vs. Michigan game, the Spartans to cover is a hot side: Our “Conference Matchup Heavily Bet” PRO System, cashing 56%, is also live on Michigan State, in a potentially-huge letdown spot for the Wolverines.
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When two teams inside the Top 25 play, and the spread is -3, the home team has covered 58% of the time. Or if the game is neutral, the PRO System simply pivots to betting the favorite.
Two teams in the Top 25 are laying more than a field goal against ranked opponents at home: Alabama (-16.5 vs. Missouri) and Oregon (-21.5) vs. Illinois; Notre Dame, meanwhile, is laying 13.5 points to Navy at MetLife Stadium.
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