Colorado State is in a flat-out horrendous spot Saturday of college football Week 4. I’ll show you how to best bet against them in their game against UTEP.
Let me introduce you to one of our “fade” betting models, which pinged Colorado State for Week 4, and provided a UTEP vs. Colorado State pick to consider.
The Rams lost to arch-rival Colorado last week in their biggest game of the year. They’re favored to beat UTEP in Week 4 by multiple scores.
Also, let’s get something out of the way: The betting angle against Colorado State has absolutely nothing to do with playing Colorado last week.
But the fact that Colorado State is dealing with emotions off last week’s loss to the Buffaloes makes the pick even more enticing.
UTEP vs. Colorado State Pick Saturday of College Football Week 4
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Teams like Colorado State are in an awful spot, based off what happened last week — again, not who they played.
Let’s analyze the basics, in a vacuum: The Rams lost 28-9.
Now, they’re favored by 9.5 against the spread. The moneyline is -360, implying Colorado State a 78.2% chance to win.
Guess what?
According to the Scoring Streak Fade PRO System, home favorites coming off a game where they scored single-digit points have only covered the spread 41% of the time since we started tracking in Bet Labs.
These metrics underline its reliability as one of the premier college football betting models available in PRO over large sample sizes.
Key data shows that teams laying big numbers often fail to meet public expectations after underwhelming offensively.
Plus, throw in the variable of losing to Colorado, and you have yourself a nifty play on UTEP against the spread.
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PRO System Pick: UTEP to Cover the Spread
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