With so many betting markets at our disposal, we’re keeping things simple for UCF (4-5, 2-4 Big 12) vs. Arizona State (6-2, 3-2).
Nope, no player props, alternates, parlays or other crazy markets; the best bet for UCF vs. Arizona State is the moneyline — straight-up, picking which team will win.
Odds are tight for Saturday of college football Week 11, but our PRO calculations suggest value.
Arizona State enters as a -2.5 favorite with the over/under at 56.
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”UCF vs Arizona State Prediction, Picks” center=”true” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/ucf.png” logo2url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaab/100/asu.png” link2follow=”true”][/subheader]
- UCF vs. Arizona State Pick: UCF +120
My Arizona State vs UCF best bet is on the Knights to win outright, with the best line currently available at ESPN Bet, according to our live NCAAF odds page.
UCF vs Arizona State Odds
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- UCF vs Arizona State Spread: UCF +2.5 (-110) · Arizona State -2.5 (-110)
- UCF vs Arizona State Over/Under: 56
- UCF vs Arizona State Moneyline: UCF +120 · Arizona State -140
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[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”UCF vs Arizona State College Football Preview” center=”true” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/ucf.png” logo2url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaab/100/asu.png”][/subheader]
UCF Knights Betting Preview: Sliding After Solid Start
“It was all good just two months ago.”
September was fun for UCF: 3-0, the offense humming and bright hopes in the Big 12.
Then it all fell apart. Quarterback KJ Jefferson was benched, the team went on a losing streak, and now the Knights are just looking to play spoiler.
If there’s any caveat, the Knights got on the board last week with a huge rout of Arizona, 56-12.
UCF is awesome in the trenches on both sides, ranking great in Line Yards and Rush Success Rate, generating a push up front and taking advantage.
Running back RJ Harvey’s been the workhorse, surpassing more than 1,200 rushing yards so far.
Arizona State Sun Devils Betting Preview: Big 12 Surprise
Kenny Dillingham’s beginning to see big gains in his home state. His Sun Devils are 6-2 overall and against the spread this season.
Arizona State has been one of the best bets in the country, frankly. This team has been in the game in both of its losses, failing to cover by just a couple of points.
UCF ranks second nationally in rushing, but Arizona State’s no slouch either, ranking top-20 in rush yards per game.
[expertpickswidget league=”ncaaf” gameid=”227064″ date=”20241109″ week=”” seasontype=””][/expertpickswidget]
UCF vs Arizona State Matchup Analysis
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how UCF and Arizona State match up statistically:
UCF Offense vs. Arizona State Defense
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Offense
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[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” league=”ncaaf” fullname=”Arizona State Sun Devils” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaab/100/asu.png” slug=”arizona-state-sun-devils”][/teamlogo]
Defense
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Edge
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| Rush Success | 3 | 43 |
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” league=”ncaaf” fullname=”UCF” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/ucf.png”][/teamlogo]
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| Line Yards | 4 | 45 |
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” league=”ncaaf” fullname=”UCF” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/ucf.png”][/teamlogo]
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| Pass Success | 98 | 59 |
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” league=”ncaaf” fullname=”Arizona State” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaab/100/asu.png”][/teamlogo]
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| Havoc | 72 | 81 |
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” league=”ncaaf” fullname=”UCF” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/ucf.png”][/teamlogo]
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| Finishing Drives | 70 | 93 |
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” league=”ncaaf” fullname=”UCF” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/ucf.png”][/teamlogo]
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| Quality Drives | 38 | 70 |
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” league=”ncaaf” fullname=”UCF” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/ucf.png”][/teamlogo]
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Arizona State Offense vs. UCF Defense
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[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” league=”ncaaf” fullname=”Arizona State Sun Devils” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaab/100/asu.png” slug=”arizona-state-sun-devils”][/teamlogo]
Offense
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[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” league=”ncaaf” fullname=”UCF Knights” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/ucf.png” slug=”ucf-knights”][/teamlogo]
Defense
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[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” league=”ncaaf” fullname=”Combined” logo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/252389_action-logo-check.png” slug=””][/teamlogo]
Edge
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| Rush Success | 6 | 11 |
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” league=”ncaaf” fullname=”Arizona State” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaab/100/asu.png”][/teamlogo]
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| Line Yards | 17 | 14 |
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” league=”ncaaf” fullname=”Draw” logo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2021/08/Minus.png”][/teamlogo]
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| Pass Success | 41 | 91 |
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” league=”ncaaf” fullname=”Arizona State” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaab/100/asu.png”][/teamlogo]
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| Havoc | 7 | 68 |
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” league=”ncaaf” fullname=”Arizona State” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaab/100/asu.png”][/teamlogo]
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| Finishing Drives | 58 | 110 |
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” league=”ncaaf” fullname=”Arizona State” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaab/100/asu.png”][/teamlogo]
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| Quality Drives | 24 | 79 |
[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” league=”ncaaf” fullname=”Arizona State” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaab/100/asu.png”][/teamlogo]
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Pace of Play / Other
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[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” league=”ncaaf” fullname=”UCF Knights” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/ucf.png” slug=”ucf-knights”][/teamlogo]
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[teamlogo linktoteampage=”false” league=”ncaaf” fullname=”Arizona State Sun Devils” logo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaab/100/asu.png”][/teamlogo]
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| PFF Tackling | 84 | 79 |
| PFF Coverage | 66 | 66 |
| Special Teams SP+ | 76 | 126 |
| Middle 8 | 52 | 13 |
| Seconds per Play | 24.7 (23) | 27.4 (76) |
| Rush Rate | 65% (9) | 63% (11) |
[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”How To Make College Football Picks For My UCF vs Arizona State Prediction” center=”true” logo1url=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/252389_action-logo-check.png”][/subheader]
UCF is in a great spot, both historically and per our PRO models. Unranked road teams that are short underdogs with a high total have won more than 50% of the time.
That implies about a fair moneyline price of +100. Grabbing UCF at a market-best +130 makes sense as a solid bet.
Also, PRO Projections back up the road team here: Our Action models make the fair price UCF +108.
Pick: UCF +130
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[subheader sizedown=”true” text=”UCF vs Arizona State Start Time, Channel, Streaming, How to Watch” center=”true”][/subheader]
| Location: | Mountain America Stadium, Tempe, AZ |
| Date: | Saturday, Nov. 9 |
| Kickoff Time: | 7 p.m. ET |
| TV / Streaming: | ESPN2 |
UCF head to Tempe, Arizona, on Saturday to take on Arizona State at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN2.
[subheader sizedown=”true” text=”ASU vs UCF Betting Trends” center=”true”][/subheader]
- 77% of bets and 82% of the money are on Arizona State to cover the spread
- 94% of bets and 100% of the money on the moneyline are on Arizona State to win outright
Betting trends via our live, updating NCAAF public betting & money percentages page.
[subheader sizedown=”true” text=”ASU vs UCF Weather” center=”true”][/subheader]
[gameforecast league=”ncaaf” gameid=”227067″ date=”2024-11-09″][/gameforecast]
