We’re leveraging PRO Systems and historical data to find the best SEC predictions for Saturday of college football Week 1. All programs are facing non-conference opponents in the opener — some bigger than others.
After rummaging through our premium trends and situational angles, these picks match historically profitable betting spots:
- Clemson vs. Georgia (Spread)
- Notre Dame vs. Texas A&M (Spread)
- Miami vs. Florida (Over/Under
Both Clemson vs. Georgia and Notre Dame vs. Texas A&M feature similar profiles as Top 25 games with big stakes. Our spread system is active on both big marquee matchups!
Also, Miami vs. Florida, a prime in-state rivalry, was highlighted by a sweet betting strategy.
Overall, picks run all day Saturday — come along for the ride!
SEC Predictions Week 1: Spreads, Over/Unders
Clemson vs. Georgia Spread Pick
The first prediction is for Clemson vs. Georgia in a neutral-site game in Atlanta. Historically, there’s a side that has covered this situation close to 60% of the time.
According to the “Ranked Matchups” PRO System, betting on the home team is advantageous when two Top 25 college football teams clash, provided the home team is favored by at least three points.
If the game is neutral, we simply pivot to betting the favorite (if -3 or more).
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The Georgia spread was around -14 for most of the betting cycle, before ticking down to -12. The Bulldogs are No. 1 and facing Dabo Swinney and the No. 14-ranked Tigers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta.
PRO System Pick: Georgia to Cover the Spread
Notre Dame vs. Texas A&M Spread Pick
Texas A&M is also a match for “Ranked Matchups” in College GameDay’s prime-time clash vs. Notre Dame.
The spread was A&M -1, before the line drove up to -3, perfectly checking the boxes for the point spread range.
PRO System Pick: Texas A&M to Cover the Spread
Miami (FL) vs. Florida Over/Under Pick
The Miami vs. Florida forecast is slated for some great outdoor conditions Saturday. In fact, the offenses could be at a chunky advantage, according to our premium trends.
Data shows that non-conference college football games in 85-106 degree weather, with winds at 10 mph or less, tend to exceed the betting total 59% of the time, if the total is less than 58.5.
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This weather mix and the unfamiliar nature of the opponents generally promotes conditions that favor offensive plays, making these games consistently score higher than market expectations.
[gameforecast league=”ncaaf” gameid=”226493″ date=”2024-08-31″][/gameforecast]
At the time, Miami (FL) vs. Florida fits.
PRO System Pick: Miami vs. Florida Over
SEC predictions in Week 1 leverage our data and predict both SEC clubs (Georgia, Texas A&M) will cover the spread in their respective, marquee matchups. Miami vs. Florida, meanwhile, shows value in betting the over.
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