The College Football Playoff quarterfinals get underway on Tuesday night with Penn State taking on Boise State in the Fiesta Bowl (7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN).
I don’t have to tell you that this game is massive, making a Penn State vs. Boise State spread pick very popular among college football bettors.
A quick look at the latest Penn State vs. Boise State spread shows the Nittany Lions as 11- to 11.5-point favorites, depending on the sportsbook, over the Broncos as of the time of writing.
In general, bettors think that the spread is too long as 60% of tickets wagered on the spread are backing Boise State thus far.
So what is the smartest Penn State vs. Boise State spread pick?
According to the wiseguys, that answer is quite clear.
Sharpest Penn State vs. Boise State Spread Pick
*Odds as of Monday afternoon
As mentioned above, Penn State has settled in between -11 and -11.5 heading into tonight’s game.
Despite the double-digit spread, professional bettors are bullish on the Nittany Lions in the Fiesta Bowl.
This line opened widely at Penn State -10 before sharps steamed the favorite, pushing it out to the current number.
Steam refers to sudden, uniform line movement across the market and is often the result of bettors with the resources and respect to move odds getting down on the same side of the same game at multiple sportsbooks, all at once.
Because this spread does vary, don’t settle for Penn State -11.5 when there are plenty of shops, like Caesars and BetMGM, offering -11.
PRO Pick: Penn State -11 (-110)
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