As we head into Week 5 of the college football season, Ole Miss looks to maintain its perfect record with a highly anticipated SEC matchup against Kentucky.
Head coach Lane Kiffin and Heisman contending quarterback Jaxson Dart are hot out the gates — and perhaps even exceeding public expectations.
Impressively, Ole Miss is 4-0 against the spread (ATS) this season.
Our expert projections analyzed the Ole Miss football odds for Saturday’s Week 5 game and identified a significant betting edge worth exploring when the Rebels kick off at noon at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium.
Ole Miss Rebels Odds
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This Saturday, Ole Miss is favored by 17.5 points, with the over/under set at 52.5.
The Rebels are ranked 8th in the AP Poll. According to our in-depth PRO Projections, which feature proprietary data from our team of college football experts, Ole Miss holds a respectable, national rank, too.
Collin Wilson’s Power Ratings place Ole Miss at 93 (No. 7 in the country), while Kentucky stands at 85.5 (No. 19).
Our expert betting model suggests the spread should ideally be around Ole Miss -13, offering only a 2.9% edge compared to the current line.
Notably, PRO Projections usually recommend betting edges of 3.5% or higher for optimal value. While the spread doesn’t present a major advantage, the over/under line offers a more profitable opportunity.
Ole Miss Pick for Week 5
The over/under line for the game is set at 52.5, and our expert models suggest a different outcome.
According to PRO Projections, the fair over/under should be more like 55.8. This number is crucial because 55 is a key figure in college football outcomes, and surpassing this threshold at 4% significantly affects betting results.
With Ole Miss’s explosive offense, led by wide receiver Tre Harris, and the pricing in the markets, picking the game to go over the total could be favorable look for Week 5.
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