[gamematchup league=”ncaaf” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/oks.png” awayname=”OK State” awayslug=”oklahoma-state-cowboys” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/isu.png” homename=”Iowa State” homeslug=”iowa-state-cyclones” date=”Saturday, Sep 23″ time=”4:00pm ET” network=”Fox Sports 1″ col1text=”Spread” col2text=”Total” col3text=”Moneyline” col1awaytext=”+3.5″ col1awayline=”-110″ col1hometext=”-3.5″ col1homeline=”-110″ col2awaytext=”36.5″ col2hometext=”36.5″ col2awayline=”-112o / -108u” col2homeline=”-112o / -108u” col3awaytext=”+145″ col3hometext=”-175″ col3awayline=”” col3homeline=”” bookname=”DraftKings” bookthumbnaillogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/448044_DKIcon_3x.png” bookreviewslug=”draftkings”][/gamematchup]
The spread in Saturday’s Oklahoma State vs. Iowa State game suggests it will be the tightest matchup among Big 12 college football games in Week 4.
Believe it or not, there’s a massive betting edge to consider.
Today’s Oklahoma State vs. Iowa State betting spread fits a 60% college football model in Bet Labs.
And it’s one of my favorites, only making predictions against the spread.
The Cowboys are small road underdogs in Ames, Iowa.
Oklahoma State has been a top-10 best bet nationally against the spread the last five-plus seasons.
After ISU rattled off four straight against the spread in the series, the Cowboys enter Week 4 with four straight covers over the Cyclones.
One of the biggest betting nuggets to Saturday’s Oklahoma State vs. ISU spread pick is how both offenses fared in their last matchup.
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Oklahoma State vs. Iowa State Spread Prediction
Today’ spread fits a college football system called Scoring Streak Fade.
The angle is straightforward: Fade college football teams that scored 10 or fewer points in their previous game.
Both Oklahoma State and ISU scored seven points last week in respective duds.
Ah, but there’s a kicker to the trend to help identify where the value’s at!
This 60%-winning model fades these teams at home. Therefore, it’s a recommended pick on Oklahoma State against the spread.
[betlabsembed systemid="1038361" systemname="Scoring Streak Fade (PRO)" leaguename="ncaaf" filters="%7B%22list%22%3A%5B%22the%20game%20is%20played%20during%20the%20Postseason%20or%20Regular%20season%22%2C%22the%20team's%20%201%20Game%20Points%20streak%20is%20between%200%20and%209%22%2C%22the%20team%20is%20the%20Favorite%22%2C%22the%20team%20is%20the%20Home%20team%22%5D%7D" amountwon="$8,399" record="304-202-7" winpct="60%"][/betlabsembed]
This profitable angle has a unique theory:
“A poor offensive game can be a sign of things to come. Teams favored at home after scoring fewer than 10 points in their previous game have struggled to cover the spread.”
Iowa State mustered just 271 total yards in last week’s loss to MAC opponent Ohio.
We’ve seen Oklahoma State priced at +3 (-110) or a more-expensive +3.5, so shop our college football odds page for the best number!
PRO Report Prediction: Oklahoma State ATS
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For more Action Network coverage of the 2023 NCAAF season, check out the latest college football odds, as well as the public betting percentage breakdowns for all games.