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Oklahoma vs Missouri Prediction, Spread, Picks, Saturday College Football Betting Preview

Oklahoma vs. Missouri features one of the most fascinating betting cycles for college football Week 11.

The SEC clash Saturday at 7:30 p.m. pits the Sooners on the road at Missouri. The Sooners enter this clash with an impressive 5-4 record, while the Tigers are holding strong at 6-2 this season, fresh off a loss to Alabama.

With Oklahoma favored at -3 and the over/under set at 41.5, the stakes are high for both teams. As we delve into this much-anticipated encounter, here’s my Oklahoma vs Missouri predictions and my college football picks for Saturday.

Oklahoma vs Missouri Odds, Spread, Lines

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  • Oklahoma vs Missouri Point Spread: Oklahoma -3 (-115), Missouri +3 (-105)
  • Oklahoma vs Missouri Total: Over/Under 41.5 (-110/-110)
  • Oklahoma vs Missouri Moneyline: Oklahoma -165, Missouri +140

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Prediction

My Oklahoma vs Missouri best bet is on the under, with the best line currently available at FanDuel, according to our live NCAAF odds page.

Moneyline

PASS

Against the Spread

PASS

Over/Under

Pick: Oklahoma vs. Missouri Under 41.5

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Oklahoma Sooners Betting Preview: From Underdog to Favorite

Oklahoma opened an underdog for Week 11, then flipped to the favorite with anticipation Missouri QB Brady Cook will be out.

We covered Missouri earlier this week as a potential hangover candidate based on the line, but with the movement, the angle no longer applies.

However, there’s another, separate PRO System which favors Oklahoma: “Road Streak,” which banks on certain conferences playing consecutive road games, like the Sooners. Check out this 58%-winning system and others in PRO here.

Oklahoma gets the nod from PRO Systems, but Action PRO models see things a bit differently.

Missouri Tigers Betting Preview: Offensive Woes

Drew Pyne stood no shot last week vs. the Crimson Tide.

Missouri’s backup QB in the wake of Cook went 6-of-12 for 42 yards and three interceptions as the Tigers were blanked 34-0.

Our “Scoring Streak Fade” PRO System (59%) loves fading teams at home after horrible offensive performances. However, our PRO Projections apparently view the Oklahoma vs. Missouri spread as a bit unfair, with our numbers reflecting Missouri -1.7.

There’s no play on the spread, but an edge on the total.

[appcard imageurl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/509930_NCAAFArticleCard.png” cta=”The must-have app for college football bettors” firstupsell=”The best NCAAF betting scoreboard” secondupsell=”Free picks from proven pros” thirdupsell=”Live win probabilities for your bets” buttontext=”DOWNLOAD NOW” buttonurl=”https://action.onelink.me/qhpb/4fb1273b”][/appcard]

Oklahoma vs Missouri Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Oklahoma and Missouri match up statistically:

Oklahoma Offense vs. Missouri Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success 93 32
Line Yards 86 15
Pass Success 120 50
Havoc 126 32
Finishing Drives 91 30
Quality Drives 124 16
Missouri Offense vs. Oklahoma Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success 22 4
Line Yards 48 24
Pass Success 99 78
Havoc 17 20
Finishing Drives 94 45
Quality Drives 53 20
Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling 25 35
PFF Coverage 77 70
Special Teams SP+ 28 63
Middle 8 82 91
Seconds per Play 24.7 (22) 26.9 (59)
Rush Rate 57% (61) 52% (72)
Data via CollegeFootballData.com, SP+, Pro Football Focus and SportSource Analytics.

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”How To Bet My Oklahoma vs Missouri Pick” center=”true” logo1url=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/252389_action-logo-check.png”][/subheader]

Despite the intrigue around the spread market, the best bet on the Oklahoma vs. Missouri game is under the total.

Missouri’s defense is top-50 nationally in every metric we track. Oklahoma, meanwhile, ranks top-45 in all categories except Pass Defense – which shouldn’t be a problem against Pyne, one of the worst quarterbacks in the SEC.

We’ve also tracked smart money in PRO Report betting under the total, as respected bettors don’t have faith in either offense.

Pick: Under 41.5

[subheader sizedown=”true” text=”Oklahoma vs Missouri Live: Start Time, TV Channel, Location, How to Watch” center=”true”][/subheader]

Location: Memorial Stadium/Faurot Field
Date: Friday, Nov. 8
Kickoff Time: 7:45 p.m. ET
TV / Streaming: SEC Network

Oklahoma takes on Missouri at Memorial Stadium on Friday, Nov. 8, at 7:45 p.m. ET on SEC Network.

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[appcard imageurl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/509930_NCAAFArticleCard.png” cta=”The must-have app for college football bettors” firstupsell=”The best NCAAF betting scoreboard” secondupsell=”Free picks from proven pros” thirdupsell=”Live win probabilities for your bets” buttontext=”DOWNLOAD NOW” buttonurl=”https://action.onelink.me/qhpb/4fb1273b”][/appcard]

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Alex Kolodziej

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