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northern illinois huskies vs miami oh redhawks-prediction-lines-picks-college football-betting preview-tuesday november 19

Northern Illinois vs. Miami (OH) Prediction, Lines, Picks & College Football Betting Guide

With only a few weeks left, these weekday MAC matchups weigh even heavier as conference championship appearances are on the line. Week 13 brings us a matchup between the Northern Illinois Huskies (6-4, 3-3 MAC) and Miami (OH) RedHawks (6-4, 5-1 MAC).

Northern Illinois is coming off a 29-16 win over Akron, while Miami (OH) most recently dominated Kent State by a score of 34-7.

The RedHawks enter as a -2.5 favorite with an over/under of 42.5.

Let’s take a look at my Northern Illinois vs. Miami (OH) predictions and college football picks for Tuesday, Nov. 19.

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  • Northern Illinois vs. Miami (OH) Pick: Northern Illinois ML +115

My Miami (OH) vs. Northern Illinois best bet is on the Huskies to win outright, with the best line currently available at BetMGM, according to our live NCAAF odds page.

Northern Illinois vs. Miami (OH) Odds, Spread, Betting Lines

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  • Northern Illinois vs. Miami (OH) Spread: Miami (OH) -1.5 · NIU +1.5
  • Northern Illinois vs. Miami (OH) Over/Under: 43 Total Points
  • Northern Illinois vs. Miami (OH) Moneyline: Miami (OH) ML -124, NIU ML +102

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Northern Illinois Huskies Betting Preview

Head coach Thomas Hammock has had his ups and downs this season, but has an opportunity to play spoiler to Miami’s conference championship hopes with a road win.

The Huskies will be without star running back Antario Brown again this week but have proven they can find offensive success without him.

The Huskies are averaging nearly 26 points per game thanks to their ground game. The run game, led by Brown, has been fantastic, but backup Telly Johnson also went over 100 rushing yards last week.

The NIU rushing attack ranks 44th in Rush Success Rate but only 120th in Rush Explosiveness.

The most important part of this offense has been Ethan Hampton and the passing game, which ranks 54th in Pass Success Rate and 14th in Pass Explosiveness.

I expect Northern Illinois’ offense to continue to find success, as it boasts one of the most consistent offenses in the conference this season.

Defensively, the Huskies have been solid, but this unit is definitely the weaker part of the team. The Huskies allow 18.5 points and 284 yards of offense per game.

NIU stops the run well, as evidenced by its rank of 51st in Rush Success Rate allowed, but its pass defense has been spottier with a rank of 78th in Pass Success Rate allowed.

While the defense has been fairly steady from a Success Rate perspective, it struggles to limit big plays.

Northern Illinois ranks 115th in Explosiveness allowed, so it will need to be focused and limit the big plays in this one.

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Miami (OH) RedHawks Betting Preview

Head coach Chuck Martin has his team in a position to reach another MAC Championship game if it can win each of its next two games. Of course, that’s easier said than done.

The Miami (OH) offense averages 24 points per game, but that feels more inflated than it should be based on the underlying metrics and strength of schedule it’s faced.

The RedHawks have one of the worst run games in the country, ranking 130th in Rush Success Rate and 134th in Rush Explosiveness.

Quarterback Brett Gabbert and the passing game have been better, ranking 53rd in Pass Success Rate but 108th in Pass Explosiveness. The RedHawks will need to rely on Gabbert to make plays to come out with a home win.

The strength of many of Martin’s teams has been the defense, but this year is a different story. The RedHawks allow 18.7 points per game but have given up 320 yards per game.

While they’ve been great in the red zone, they rank 112th in Success Rate allowed.

They will need to hold strong again in the red zone again against a very steady Northern Illinois offense.

Miami (OH) vs. Northern Illinois Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Miami (OH) and Northern Illinois match up statistically:

Northern Illinois Offense vs. Miami (OH) Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success 44 81
Line Yards 12 103
Pass Success 54 20
Havoc 56 68
Finishing Drives 93 3
Quality Drives 17 19
Miami (OH) Offense vs. Northern Illinois Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success 118 53
Line Yards 58 75
Pass Success 46 7
Havoc 82 41
Finishing Drives 102 14
Quality Drives 38 24
Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling 2 97
PFF Coverage 21 86
Special Teams SP+ 120 44
Middle 8 14 64
Seconds per Play 27.8 (87) 30.0 (123)
Rush Rate 60% (11) 49% (105)
Data via CollegeFootballData.com, SP+, Pro Football Focus and SportSource Analytics.

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The difference in this game comes with the disparity between these offenses.

Northern Illinois’ offense is significantly better, and I don’t trust Miami (OH) to keep up with the Huskies as long as they can score touchdowns — not field goals — in the red zone.

I think the wrong team is favored and will take Northern Illinois to win this game outright.

Pick: Northern Illinois ML +115

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Northern Illinois vs. Miami (OH) Streaming, Channel, Start Time, How to Watch, Location

Location: Fred C. Yager Stadium, Oxford, OH
Date: Tuesday, Nov. 19
Kickoff Time: 8 p.m. ET
TV / Streaming: ESPN

Northern Illinois makes the trip to Oxford, Ohio, on Tuesday to face Miami (OH) at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN.

Northern Illinois vs. Miami (OH) Betting Trends

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Northern Illinois vs. Miami (OH) Weather Forecast

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