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miami hurricanes vs louisville cardinals-prediction-pick-odds-college football-saturday october 19

Miami vs. Louisville Prediction, Odds, Picks & How to Watch NCAAF Saturday

By now, it’s safe to say that “The U” is back.

The Miami Hurricanes come into this matchup undefeated (6-0) and ranked sixth in the country. However, they’ve been tested in their last two matchups, winning by a combined five points.

The Louisville Cardinals (4-2) host the Hurricanes this Saturday at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium at 12 p.m. ET on ABC/ESPN+. Louisville got back on track last week after two straight losses by defeating Virginia on the road, 24-20.

The Canes are favored by 4.5 points on the spread with a total sitting at 61.5 points.

With both teams riding high and talent littered all over the field, which side should you be on? Here’s my Miami vs. Louisville predictions and my college football picks for Saturday.

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  • Miami vs. Louisville Best Bet: Miami -4.5

Pick

My Miami vs. Louisville prediction is on the Hurricanes, with the best line currently available at FanDuel, according to our live NCAAF odds page.

Spread

My best bet here is for the Hurricanes to cover the spread. With Cam Ward under center, expect a fast start as Miami picks up its seventh win.

Over/Under

I’m going to pass on betting the total in this game, as I don’t see value on the over or under.

Moneyline

While I see value on Miami to cover the spread, I’m not betting either side on the moneyline.

Miami vs. Louisville Odds, Betting Lines, Spread

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  • Miami vs. Louisville Spread: Miami -5 · Louisville +5
  • Miami vs. Louisville Over/Under: 61 Points
  • Miami vs. Louisville Moneyline: Miami ML -215 · Louisville ML +178

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Miami Hurricanes Betting Preview

The Hurricanes came into this season with a ton of hype and one of the most talented teams on paper. To this point, they have lived up to the hype, especially on the offensive side of the ball.

Cam Ward, a Washington State transfer, has flourished in the ACC and garnered Heisman consideration. He’s led the Hurricanes to rank 4h in yards per pass and 12th in completion percentage.

Ward and his uber-talented receiving corps should be able to dissect the Louisville secondary, which ranks 89th in yards per pass allowed and 112th in opponent completion percentage.

However, the success of the Hurricanes’ offensive should continue on the ground in this matchup, as their 6th-ranked offensive line outranks the 36th-ranked Cardinals’ in line yards.

That is excellent news for Damien Martinez and Jordan Lyle, who have combined to average 5.8 yards per carry. It would be shocking to see Miami’s offense stumble in this one, especially after a bye week.

Louisville Cardinals Betting Preview

While the Hurricanes’ starters will draw attention to this matchup, the Louisville Cardinals are a very talented team, and it’s shown in the box score.

Tyler Shough, the Cardinals’ quarterback, is not far behind Ward in yards per pass, as he ranks 12 and is under 7 percent behind him in completion percentage. Then, on the ground, Isaac Brown has been a force, averaging 8.6 yards per carry.

Louisville’s issue in this matchup is the Hurricanes’ defense, which will be their toughest test to this point. Miami ranks fourth in Pass Success Rate and third in Havoc Rate.

On the ground, Miami’s 18th-ranked defensive line outranks Louisville’s 77th-ranked unit. The Hurricanes have the tools to contain the Cardinal’s offense, and Louisville will be under pressure to match the Hurricanes’ scoring output.

[appcard imageurl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/509930_NCAAFArticleCard.png” cta=”The must-have app for college football bettors” firstupsell=”The best NCAAF betting scoreboard” secondupsell=”Free picks from proven pros” thirdupsell=”Live win probabilities for your bets” buttontext=”DOWNLOAD NOW” buttonurl=”https://action.onelink.me/qhpb/4fb1273b”][/appcard]

Louisville vs. Miami Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Louisville and Miami match up statistically:

Miami Offense vs. Louisville Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success 4 18
Line Yards 6 36
Pass Success 5 69
Havoc 12 72
Finishing Drives 10 71
Quality Drives 2 37
Louisville Offense vs. Miami Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success 35 36
Line Yards 77 18
Pass Success 56 4
Havoc 33 3
Finishing Drives 61 27
Quality Drives 4 45
Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling 87 63
PFF Coverage 14 94
Special Teams SP+ 35 99
Middle 8 16 71
Seconds per Play 28.6 (95) 29.1 (107)
Rush Rate 46% (110) 49% (96)
Data via CollegeFootballData.com, SP+, Pro Football Focus and SportSource Analytics.

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”How to Make Miami vs. Louisville Picks” center=”true” logo1url=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/252389_action-logo-check.png”][/subheader]

There hasn’t been much market movement on the spread for this matchup. We’ve seen the number bounce between four and five all week.

It seems clear that the side you should be on is Miami (FL). The Hurricanes have the edge on both sides and come into this game off a bye, so they should be well-prepared.

Expect the Hurricanes to look sharp as they cover the spread and notch their seventh win of the season.

Pick: Miami -4.5 (Play to -5)

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Miami vs. Louisville Start Time, Channel, Streaming, How To Watch

Location: L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
Date: Saturday, Oct. 19
Kickoff Time: 12 p.m. ET
TV / Streaming: ABC

Miami takes on Louisville at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium on Saturday, Oct. 19, at 12 p.m. ET on ABC.

College Football Betting Trends for Louisville vs. Miami

  • 73% of bets and 86% of the money are on Miami (FL) to cover the spread
  • 87% of bets and 97% of the money on the moneyline are on Miami (FL) to win outright
  • 65% of bets and 55% of the money are on the over

Betting trends via our live, updating NCAAF public betting & money percentages page.

Miami vs. Louisville Weather

[gameforecast league=”ncaaf” gameid=”226909″ date=”2024-10-19″][/gameforecast]

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