Illinois vs. Wisconsin Odds
| Illinois Odds | +19.5 [BET NOW] |
| Wisconsin Odds | -19.5 [BET NOW] |
| Moneyline | +630/-1000 [BET NOW] |
| Over/Under | 51.5 [BET NOW] |
| Time | 8 p.m. ET |
| TV | Big Ten Network |
Odds as of 10 a.m. ET via BetMGM. Get an INSTANT $500 deposit match at BetMGM today or see more offers and reviews for the best online sportsbooks.
The Big Ten’s 2020 return to football kicks off with an Illinois-Wisconsin Friday night showdown at Camp Randall. And where there’s late-October midwest football, there’s often weather to be aware of as well.
In tonight’s case, wind and some moderately cold temps — but mostly wind — could impact scoring, and betting odds have shifted a bit accordingly.
Let’s take a look.
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Illinois vs. Wisconsin Weather Report
Winds of 12 to 14 mph are expected throughout the game tonight in Madison, and if history is any indication, bettors should be taking notice.
In our database (since 2005), college football games played in winds of at least 13 mph have hit the under at a 57% rate. And that’s on a sample of more than 1,000 games (551-442-34).
The theory makes sense: more wind means increased passing difficulty, cutting down some big plays, but also keeping the ball on the ground, and therefore keeping the clock on the move. Wind blowing across the field, specifically (as is the case tonight), also adds an obstacle to every field goal attempt.
Now, tonight’s wind projection is right on the cusp of that 13 mph threshold (these four figures actually average to 12.6 mph), so this game technically wouldn’t be counted in our sample unless the forecast worsens by a hair.
But adding a extra minor wrinkle to tonight’s weather, temperatures are expected to be in the upper-30s to low-40s, and windy games on the colder side have tended to be even more profitable for under bettors.
To be specific, we can return the same 57% win rate (325-244-10) by looking at games played in 10+ mph winds, as long as they aren’t played in above-50-degree temps.
Perhaps a result of the weather, tonight’s over/under has inched down a bit since opening. It now sits at a consensus 51.5 after being released at 52.5.