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College Football Odds, Picks for Hawaii vs Oregon: Target Saturday’s Over/Under

Hawaii vs Oregon Odds

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After defeating Texas Tech on the road, it may be time to declare that Bo Nix season is in full effect. However, Nix and the Oregon offense may have to stay hot if the Ducks are going to make a run in the Pac-12.

Hawaii may be 1-2 on the season, but the Rainbow Warriors have had solid showings against two Power 5 opponents. It’ll be interesting to see if they can keep up with the Ducks in this matchup.

Oddsmakers are expecting this matchup to be a high-scoring affair, but is the total a bit too inflated?

Let’s dive into the odds for Hawaii vs. Oregon and make a prediction in this Week 3 college football betting preview for Saturday, Sept. 16.

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Hawaii is in the second year of running the Run N’ Shoot offense, and things are going well. Hawaii throws the ball at the second-highest rate in the country, and quarterback Brayden Schager has been executing well.

However, Hawaii’s offense has struggled with pass protection, as Schager has been sacked on 9.28% of dropbacks.

Also, Oregon’s defensive issues have stemmed from the ground game, which Hawaii is unlikely to exploit.

So, with this being the toughest defense Hawaii has faced thus far, we may have to temper expectations when it comes to the Rainbow Warriors’ scoring output in this matchup.

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The Ducks enter as massive 38-point favorites, so it’s clear they’re going to score. They will also have a big edge in the trenches, as their offensive line has proven capable of pushing opposing fronts around in the early going.

The Ducks rank sixth in Offensive Line Yards, which has led to rankings of 10th in Rushing Success Rate and 11th in Passing Success Rate.

In the first half, look for the offense to operate with its typical trends, which is more pass-heavy. Nix and the Ducks’ receivers should be a problem for a Hawaii secondary that ranks 93rd in opponent completion percentage and 78th in PFF‘s coverage grade.

Although, if the lead grows large enough, I’d expect the Ducks to run the ball in the second half, which should take time off the clock.

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Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Hawaii and Oregon match up statistically:

Hawaii Offense vs. Oregon Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success 128 33
Line Yards 115 95
Pass Success 76 57
Havoc 107 58
Finishing Drives 117 77
Quality Drives 64 42
Oregon Offense vs. Hawaii Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success 10 52
Line Yards 6 38
Pass Success 11 76
Havoc 16 29
Finishing Drives 15 99
Quality Drives 3 94
Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling 68 42
PFF Coverage 74 48
Special Teams SP+ 61 71
Middle 8 68 33
Seconds per Play 26.3 (60) 25.9 (56)
Rush Rate 37.9% (132) 44.2% (108)
Data via CollegeFootballData.com, SP+, Pro Football Focus, and SportSource Analytics.

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Hawaii vs. Oregon” subtext=”Betting Pick & Prediction” center=”false” logo1url=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/252389_action-logo-check.png”][/subheader]

There’s certainly the potential for a lot of points to be scored in this matchup, but if the spread is indicative of the game script, this will go under.

The Rainbow Warriors likely won’t sustain much offensive success, and the Ducks are going to get more conservative as the game progresses.

Take the under to 66.

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Doug Ziefel

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