Action Network

vanderbilt vs georgia-odds-picks-predictions-sec-ncaaf-betting-october 14

Vanderbilt vs Georgia Odds, Picks & Prediction | SEC Betting Guide

Vanderbilt vs Georgia Odds

[gamematchup league=”ncaaf” awaylogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2022/08/Vanderbilt-Commodores-logo-NEW-2022.png” awayname=”Vanderbilt” awayslug=”vanderbilt-commodores” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/uga.png” homename=”Georgia” homeslug=”georgia-bulldogs” date=”Saturday, Oct. 14″ time=”Noon ET” network=”CBS” col1text=”Spread” col2text=”Total” col3text=”Moneyline” col1awaytext=”+32.5″ col1awayline=”-105″ col1hometext=”-32.5″ col1homeline=”-115″ col2awaytext=”55.5″ col2hometext=”55.5″ col2awayline=”-110o / -110u” col2homeline=”-110o / -110u” col3awaytext=”+2000″ col3hometext=”-10000″ col3awayline=”” col3homeLine=”” bookname=”BetMGM” bookthumbnaillogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/902516_MGM2.png” bookreviewslug=”betmgm”][/gamematchup]

Week 7 includes the No. 1-ranked Georgia Bulldogs traveling to the Music City to face the Vanderbilt Commodores in a Saturday SEC showdown.

The Bulldogs enter this game after routing Kentucky in between the hedges in Athens, Georgia, last week, 51-13. Despite looking lackadaisical at times this season, that win brought Georgia to 6-0 on the year.

Vanderbilt enters this weekend after dropping its fifth game in a row to Florida last week. The Commodores will clearly face a tough test against the two-time defending national champions in this one.

Georgia will look to continue to roll and prove to everyone that it’s indeed the best team in the country again.

Let’s see what kind of value there may be in Vanderbilt vs. Georgia.

_InlineAdBlock

Check out our NCAAF Betting Hub for more college football previews, predictions, news and analysis.

[subheader sizedown=”false” center=”false” text=”Vanderbilt Commodores” subtext=”” logo1url=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2022/08/Vanderbilt-Commodores-logo-NEW-2022.png” link1=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/odds/vanderbilt-commodores” link1follow=”false”][/subheader]

Vanderbilt doesn’t have the national championship hopes — nor the SEC championship hopes — of Georgia, but it does have a focus on consistently improving and fighting to compete in league play for years to come.

This team has struggled again this season, though, sitting at a disappointing 2-5 after going 2-1 in its first three games. Head coach Clark Lea looks to help push this program in the right direction after receiving a contract extension this offseason.

The Commodores’ offense continues to struggle, averaging nearly two turnovers per game. Turnovers are something you just can’t have if you want to hang around in games, and these Commodores continue to commit them with AJ Swann leading this offense. He averages an interception per week.

This has to be something this Vanderbilt offense will need to improve upon if it has any hopes of hanging with Georgia.

Unfortunately for the Commodores, turnovers aren’t the only issue. They simply just don’t have the talent or consistency on offense to have success this week. They rank 96th overall in Offensive Success Rate.

Defensively, this Vanderbilt team hasn’t shown much more than its offense. The defense allow 36 points per game, which will be a problem against an offense as talented as Georgia’s.

The glaring issue for this matchup is that this team ranks 111th against the pass while ranking 70th against the rush. Vandy will need to play better against the pass to slow this UGA attack or this won’t be a competitive game.

The good news for the Vanderbilt defense is that it ranks 99th in terms of preventing explosive plays defensively, giving it a slight edge over the UGA offense.

_InlineAdBlock

[subheader sizedown=”false” center=”false” text=”Georgia Bulldogs” subtext=”” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/uga.png” link1=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/odds/georgia-bulldogs” link1follow=”false”][/subheader]

Coach Kirby Smart has done an impressive job in Athens, leading these Bulldogs to two straight national championships. He’s looking to do something even more difficult and rattle off a third straight title this season.

The Bulldogs will need to take care of business this week against an inferior Vanderbilt team.

Carson Beck was the offseason story for this Georgia team after Stetson Bennett finished his long career by hoisting the national championship trophy.

Beck may have had some inconsistencies this season, but he was on a roll last week, throwing for 389 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. The interception was only Beck’s third on the season.

Offensively, Georgia continues to find success on the ground (ranking 23rd), and its passing game has been very strong under Beck this season. The Bulldogs rank 33rd in pass play rate while ranking sixth in the country in Passing Success Rate.

This team should continue to find success through the air. The glaring issue for why Georgia has been struggling to really blowout teams consistently this year is that the Bulldogs have lacked the explosiveness they had in previous years. They currently rank 102nd in offensive explosive rating.

They should be able to put up points, but not at the pace we have seen in years past.

This Georgia defense continues to be as good as advertised over the last few seasons. It ranks 14th defensively in the country.

The only cause for concern with this defense is how porous it’s been against the run, ranking 41st in Success Rate, which is likely a result of losing multiple front-seven guys to the NFL draft over the last few seasons.

This is a weakness this Georgia defense will look to fix as this season continues.

The pass defense, on the other hand, ranks seventh in the country and is sixth-best against allowing explosive plays, so the Bulldogs really make it tough on opposing offenses to get anything going if they fall behind.

[appcard imageurl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/509930_NCAAFArticleCard.png” cta=”The must-have app for college football bettors” firstupsell=”The best NCAAF betting scoreboard” secondupsell=”Free picks from proven pros” thirdupsell=”Live win probabilities for your bets” buttontext=”DOWNLOAD NOW” buttonurl=”https://action.onelink.me/qhpb/4fb1273b”][/appcard]

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Vanderbilt vs Georgia” subtext=”Matchup Analysis” center=”false” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/uga.png” link1=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/odds/georgia-bulldogs” link1follow=”false” logo2url=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2022/08/Vanderbilt-Commodores-logo-NEW-2022.png” link2=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/ncaaf/odds/vanderbilt-commodores” link2follow=”false”][/subheader]

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Georgia and Vanderbilt match up statistically:

Georgia Offense vs. Vanderbilt Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success 22 70
Line Yards 48 77
Pass Success 6 121
Havoc 23 96
Finishing Drives 13 79
Quality Drives 10 115
Vanderbilt Offense vs. Georgia Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success 104 41
Line Yards 92 37
Pass Success 86 4
Havoc 97 38
Finishing Drives 25 50
Quality Drives 83 8
Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling 17 69
PFF Coverage 9 101
Special Teams SP+ 34 27
Middle 8 23 106
Seconds per Play 28.2 (84) 25.9 (50)
Rush Rate 47.2% (97) 43.0% (122)
Data via CollegeFootballData.com, SP+, Pro Football Focus and SportSource Analytics.

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Vanderbilt vs Georgia” subtext=”Betting Pick & Prediction” center=”false” logo1url=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/252389_action-logo-check.png”][/subheader]

The Bulldogs should be able to do just about whatever they want in this game on both sides of the ball to pick up their seventh win of the season.

Georgia is headed in the right direction after last week. The Bulldogs don’t score as quickly as they did the previous two years, though, so I expect them to sustain some longer scoring drives rather than quick strikes.

I also anticipate this Bulldogs defense will stifle the Commodores’ offense in this one.

I think the value lies in the under 56 points in this one.

[quickslip picktext=”Pick: Under 56 (Play to 55)” linktext=”Bet the Under Instantly at FanDuel With QuickSlip” link=”https://switchboard.actionnetwork.com/v1/deeplink?marketId=42.399412274&selectionId=7017917&context=qs-articles” linkfollow=”false” bookthumbnaillogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/392973_FanDuel.png”][/quickslip]

Posted

in

by

Eric Caselton

Tags:

, , , ,