Casual bettors still have one game left — Falcons vs. Eagles on Monday Night Football — to break down, while wiseguys are looking into their favorite early college football Week 4 picks.
This doesn’t mean sharps are passing on Monday Night Football, just that money is flowing and college football Week 4 odds are already on the move.
And while the college football odds board typically provides more opportunities for value, especially with smaller or lower-profile programs, it’s two of the biggest Week 4 games attracting smart money: No. 11 USC vs. No. 18 Michigan and No. 12 Utah vs. No. 14 Oklahoma State.
The 2 Sharpest Early College Football Week 4 Picks
*Odds as of Monday morning
USC vs. Michigan Pick
Saturday, Sept. 21 | 3:30 p.m. ET | CBS
Right off the bat we have a big one in USC vs. Michigan.
The Trojans are between 5.5- and 6-point road favorites based on live college football odds, though it’s the total that’s catching the eyes of the wiseguys.
Fifty-three percent of bets on the total have hit the over in early Week 4 betting.
However, despite what appears to be balanced action, Action Labs has tracked a bevy of steam moves on the under, helping to explain why the total has dipped from 48.5 early Sunday morning to a consensus of 46.5.
PRO Pick: Under 46.5 (-110) — BetMGM
Utah vs. Oklahoma State Pick
Saturday, Sept. 21 | 4 p.m. ET | FOX
Action PRO’s betting value signals are tracking sharp action on Utah, which fits a historically profitable PRO System as well.
Specifically, the Utes are a match for our Ranked Matchups PRO Betting System, a strategy that finds value with home favorites in games where both teams are ranked.
Teams fitting the system’s criteria are 298-219-10 against the spread, for a 58% win rate dating back to the 2005 college football season.
PRO Pick: Utah -2.5 (-110) — Caesars
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