PRO Systems pumped out a potluck of picks for Saturday of college football Week 3, featuring all kinds of key angles for Saturday’s big betting slate ranging from moneyline predictions, to undervalued spreads, to savvy over/under best bets.
We’ll gloss over four strategies straight out of PRO Systems for Week 3 of college football Saturday, ultimately recommending seven picks.
Here’s what to expect in Saturday’s college football Week 3 betting preview:
- Upset Predictions
- Juicy Edge for the Top 25 Matchup
- 2 Predictions Involving Wind, Weather
- How to Bet the Late-Night Games
College Football Week 3 Betting Preview: Strategies, Key Angles, Picks for Saturday
Best College Football Upset Predictions Saturday
*All picks listed first, bolded
Our advanced PRO Systems parlay a blend of historical data and key betting trends to help direct bettors to what side has typically been the right prediction.
Upset picks are off to a great start. After a 3-0 record in Week 1, we went 3-2 last Saturday for another nice payday.
Here’s how we arrived at the best upset picks and moneyline predictions for college football Week 3, utilizing a sleek PRO System.
In the regular season, whenever two unranked teams play and the spread is +4 or shorter with an over/under or 46 or above, it’s best to take the underdog outright.
The “Small Visiting Dogs” model has consistently guided bettors to solid picks, and there’s more on tap Saturday in Week 3. A couple teams are worth another look to pull off the upset: UCF and Jacksonville State
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Small Visiting Dogs Picks
- UCF vs. TCU
- Jacksonville State vs. Eastern Michigan
58% Trend for the Top 25 Matchup
No. 24 Boston College plays No. 6 Missouri Saturday.
According to the “Ranked Matchups” betting system, betting on the home team is advantageous when two Top 25 college football teams clash, provided the home team is favored by at least three points. This trend has shown that the home team covers the spread 58% of the time, resulting in a 12% ROI.
Missouri, laying -16.5 against the spread to Boston College, matches the bill in Week 3.
Ranked Matchups Picks:
- Missouri vs. Boston College
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Best Weather Picks
According to the Windy Unders PRO System, college football games featuring winds blowing between 13-34 miles per hour have gone under the betting total 58% of the time, over a sample size of more than 1,000 bets.
The direction of the wind is simply irrelevant to the Windy Unders PRO System; heavy winds of 13+ mph, no matter the direction, typically result in reduced scoring, likely due to the wind’s impact on field goal kickers and pass-heavy offenses which may be reliant on timing and favorable conditions.
Two games feature enough wind in Week 3.
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Windy Unders Picks:
- Virginia Tech vs. Old Dominion Under
- LSU vs. South Carolina Under
How to Bet the Late-Night Games
Our researcher Evan Abrams found that over the past decade, college football games with late start times have yielded fewer points. Entering the season, games beginning at 10 p.m. ET or later were 303-237-1 (56.1%) to the under. Since 2017, these late-start games have recorded a 57.7% under rate (202-148).
Such picks went 6-2 last week.
In Week 3, two games kick off at 10 p.m. ET or later, which would ultimately suggest bets on the under.
- New Mexico State vs. Fresno State Under
- San Diego State vs. Cal Under
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