College football weather Friday is key to both FBS games, and the elements are so subtle that bettors may overlook both.
Weather is so important to betting college football in general that we utilize two distinct PRO Systems to alert us when appropriate conditions line up for a pick based on past data.
And this is where it gets interesting.
Both of our highly reliable weather PRO Systems signaled strong picks for college football Friday. One PRO System advises betting a game Friday over the total; the other factored in conditions which would meet the criteria for betting the under.
Here are picks for BYU vs. SMU and Northwestern vs. Duke, courtesy of two separate weather systems which you can implement all college football season long to help make better bets when weather pops up.
College Football Weather Friday Key to BYU vs. SMU, Duke vs. Northwestern Picks
BYU vs. SMU Odds, Weather, Picks
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SMU is laying 11.5 points at home, with an over/under hovering around 55.5 to 56.The forecast is telling, believe it or not.
Here, our initial PRO System “Weather Overs” comes into play. Nonconference college football games that are played in temperatures ranging from 85 to 106 degrees, coupled with winds at 10 mph or less, tend to exceed the betting total 59% of the time when the total is 58 or less. The data is clear: Such weather conditions and the unfamiliarity of the opponents create a fertile ground for offensive plays, leading to higher-scoring games.
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In this case, the weather forecast for BYU vs. SMU shows temperatures at 85 degrees with winds at 7 mph. These conditions fall squarely within our “Weather Overs” criteria. Thus, PRO Systems’ recommendation is to bet on the over for this matchup.
[gameforecast league=”ncaaf” gameid=”226503″ date=”2024-09-06″][/gameforecast]
PRO System Pick: BYU vs. SMU Over
Northwestern vs. Duke Odds, Weather, Picks
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Shifting our focus to the second key matchup — Northwestern vs. Duke.
Here, our “Windy Unders” PRO System stands out. This system boasts a 58% success rate for betting on the under in college football games characterized by wind speeds ranging from 13 to 34 mph.
Our model draws from a vast sample of over 1,000 bets, offering robust and reliable data. It’s important to note that the wind direction doesn’t really matter in this framework. High wind conditions generally lead to lower-scoring games by hindering field goal accuracy and disrupting teams which rely heavily on passing.
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Friday’s Week 2 Northwestern vs. Duke weather includes winds at 14 mph, perfectly fitting our “Windy Unders” criteria.
[gameforecast league=”ncaaf” gameid=”226526″ date=”2024-09-06″][/gameforecast]
PRO System Pick: Northwestern vs. Duke Under
Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.
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