Hurricane Helene’s unfortunate trajectory is making a significant impact on numerous college football games of Week 5.
College football weather and its betting impact automatically becomes a topic of discussion. Rather than spending countless hours trying to figure out which games will be affected by rain, wind and other adverse weather conditions, we recommend utilizing our weather-based PRO System.
This proprietary model provides clarity on the real weather-affected games for Week 5, by backtesting extensive data to offer better-informed college football picks.
In particular, four games Saturday fit this backtested model, alerting us to make specific picks during college football Week 5.
College Football Weather: Betting Picks, Wind, Impact Saturday of Week 5
Transitioning now to our weather-centric picks, it is essential to recognize that weather, especially wind, can be a significant disruptor of game plans and timing in college football.
The system helps pinpoint games that are genuinely influenced by weather, filtering out misleading data points like minor rain that may deceive bettors.
Our focus this week is on games with notable wind conditions, regardless of whether they are directly affected by Hurricane Helene.
The PRO System active here is called Windy Unders, which focuses specifically on betting the under in college football games where wind speeds range from 13 to 34 miles per hour. Historically, this system boasts a 58% success rate, highlighting its reliability and importance on the betting impact.
Here are the four weather picks to lock in for college football Week 5, sorted by game time.
[betlabsembed systemid=”1176449″ systemname=”Windy Unders (PRO)” leaguename=”ncaaf” filters=”%7B%22list%22%3A%5B%22the%20average%20wind%20speed%20is%20between%2013%20and%2034%20mph%22%2C%22betting%20on%20the%20Under%22%2C%22the%20game%20is%20played%20during%20the%20Regular%20season%22%5D%7D” amountwon=”$13,976″ record=”683-501-14″ winpct=”58%”][/betlabsembed]
College Football Weather Pick No. 1: Nebraska vs. Purdue
[gamematchup league=”ncaaf” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/neb.png” awayname=”Nebraska” awayslug=”nebraska-cornhuskers” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/pur.png” homename=”Purdue” homeslug=”purdue-boilermakers” date=”Saturday, Sep 28″ time=”12 p.m. ET” network=”Peacock” col1text=”Spread” col2text=”Total” col3text=”Moneyline” col1awaytext=”-10″ col1awayline=”-120″ col1hometext=”+10″ col1homeline=”+100″ col2awaytext=”46.5″ col2hometext=”46.5″ col2awayline=”-110o / -110u” col2homeline=”-110o / -110u” col3awaytext=”-385″ col3hometext=”+300″ col3awayline=”” col3homeline=”” bookname=”Caesars” bookthumbnaillogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/463646_Caesars.png” bookreviewslug=”caesars”][/gamematchup]
First up is the Nebraska vs. Purdue game. Winds are expected to reach 13 mph with a 40% chance of precipitation, increasing more substantially during the second half. Given these conditions, betting under the total is recommended.
[gameforecast league=”ncaaf” gameid=”226759″ date=”2024-09-28″][/gameforecast]
PRO System Pick: Nebraska vs. Purdue Under
College Football Weather Prediction No. 2: Oklahoma State vs. Kansas State
[gamematchup league=”ncaaf” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/oks.png” awayname=”OK State” awayslug=”oklahoma-state-cowboys” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/kstd.png” homename=”K State” homeslug=”kansas-state-wildcats” date=”Saturday, Sep 28″ time=”12 p.m. ET” network=”ESPN” col1text=”Spread” col2text=”Total” col3text=”Moneyline” col1awaytext=”+5″ col1awayline=”-112″ col1hometext=”-5″ col1homeline=”-108″ col2awaytext=”55.5″ col2hometext=”55.5″ col2awayline=”-110o / -110u” col2homeline=”-110o / -110u” col3awaytext=”+164″ col3hometext=”-198″ col3awayline=”” col3homeline=”” bookname=”DraftKings” bookthumbnaillogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/603379_Primary.png” bookreviewslug=”draftkings”][/gamematchup]
Next, the Oklahoma State vs. Kansas State game will feature wind conditions of 13 mph in Manhattan, Kansas.
Despite the lack of precipitation, the windy weather is sufficient to recommend taking the under on the total of 55.5.
This game involves two ranked teams, further emphasizing the betting impact, especially if wind makes offense more challenging.
[gameforecast league=”ncaaf” gameid=”226734″ date=”2024-09-28″][/gameforecast]
PRO System Pick: Oklahoma State vs. Kansas State Under
College Football Weather Pick No. 3: TCU vs. Kansas
[gamematchup league=”ncaaf” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/tcud.png” awayname=”TCU” awayslug=”tcu-horned-frogs” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/kan.png” homename=”Kansas” homeslug=”kansas-jayhawks” date=”Saturday, Sep 28″ time=”3:30 p.m. ET” network=”ESPN+” col1text=”Spread” col2text=”Total” col3text=”Moneyline” col1awaytext=”+2″ col1awayline=”-110″ col1hometext=”-2″ col1homeline=”-110″ col2awaytext=”59″ col2hometext=”59″ col2awayline=”-110o / -110u” col2homeline=”-110o / -110u” col3awaytext=”+105″ col3hometext=”-125″ col3awayline=”” col3homeline=”” bookname=”DraftKings” bookthumbnaillogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/603379_Primary.png” bookreviewslug=”draftkings”][/gamematchup]
Similarly, the TCU vs. Kansas game will be played under cloudy skies with 13 mph wind gusts at Arrowhead. Under these breezy conditions, bettors should also consider the under for the total for this matchup. Again, wind conditions point to a decrease in scoring opportunities, making the under an optimal pick.
[gameforecast league=”ncaaf” gameid=”226725″ date=”2024-09-28″][/gameforecast]
PRO System Pick: TCU vs. Kansas Under
College Football Weather Prediction No. 4: Air Force vs. Wyoming
[gamematchup league=”ncaaf” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/af.png” awayname=”Air Force” awayslug=”air-force-falcons” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/wyo.png” homename=”Wyoming” homeslug=”wyoming-cowboys” date=”Saturday, Sep 28″ time=”8 p.m. ET” network=”CBS Sports Network” col1text=”Spread” col2text=”Total” col3text=”Moneyline” col1awaytext=”-4″ col1awayline=”-110″ col1hometext=”+4″ col1homeline=”-110″ col2awaytext=”34″ col2hometext=”34″ col2awayline=”-110o / -110u” col2homeline=”-110o / -110u” col3awaytext=”-178″ col3hometext=”+150″ col3awayline=”” col3homeline=”” bookname=”Caesars” bookthumbnaillogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/463646_Caesars.png” bookreviewslug=”caesars”][/gamematchup]
Lastly, the Air Force vs. Wyoming game brings wind conditions of 14 mph with no rain expected. The total for this game is notably low at 34, yet the windy conditions make a strong case for betting the under.
[gameforecast league=”ncaaf” gameid=”226715″ date=”2024-09-28″][/gameforecast]
PRO System Pick: Air Force vs. Wyoming Under
Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.
_InlineAdBlock