Finding value in college football spreads can be a gold mine for bettors looking to maximize their returns in bigger markets.
For college football Week 3, our PRO Projections have turned up three standout picks that warrant attention.
Our proprietary betting models have identified discrepancies in the lines for several games, and three of them have earned the coveted ‘A’ grade from our analysts. These top picks are centered around matchups between Hawaii and Sam Houston State, West Virginia and Pitt, and UCLA against Indiana.
To contextualize how significant these ‘A’ grade picks are, it’s worth noting that even our ‘B’ grade selections offer strong opportunities.
However, the ‘A’ picks usually feature spreads that are several points off from what the market offers, representing the most substantial potential for profit.
College Football Spreads, Picks, Week 3 Disagreements From Expert Models
Hawaii vs. Sam Houston State Spread, Prediction
Our first college football spread to focus on is Hawaii vs Sam Houston State. The current betting spread sets Sam Houston State as 4.5-point favorites. However, our PRO Projections posted a number way off the current odds.
According to our data, the line should be much closer to SHSU -0.2.
This discrepancy earns an A+ grade for Hawaii, making it one of the strongest plays of the week. If you’re looking to place a confident bet, Hawaii should be on your radar as a compelling underdog pick.
PRO Projections Pick: Hawaii to Cover the Spread
West Virginia vs. Pitt
Next up, we dive into the clash between West Virginia and Pitt. Let the Backyard Brawl commence.
The betting spread here lists West Virginia as a 2-point favorite. But our PRO Projections suggest that this line is significantly off the mark.
Specifically, our models indicate that West Virginia should be closer to 5.8-point favorites. This notable difference in the spread earns an A grade, making West Virginia a prime candidate for a bet.
According to our analysis, it seems the Mountaineers are undervalued by the current market, giving bettors an excellent opportunity to back West Virginia in a potential smash spot.
PRO Projections Pick: West Virginia to Cover the Spread
UCLA vs. Indiana
Finally, let’s examine the game between Indiana and UCLA, where yet another college football spread appears incorrect.
The betting market has set Indiana as 3-point favorites. However, our PRO Projections flip the script entirely, suggesting that UCLA should be favored by around 0.3 points. Given that the wrong team is favored according to our models, this Big Ten clash earns a solid A- grade.
Therefore, UCLA stands out as another valuable pick, signaling a potential upset.
PRO Projections Pick: UCLA to Cover the Spread
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Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.